Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Venezia v Lazio

2026-09-19 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Testa a testa

28 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Venezia (Casa)

Previsione 39.38%2.54quota equa
EV -0.760%
Vantaggio -0.301%
Kelly -0.500%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.75%39.42%39.32%41.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.352.352.5246.51%42.54%42.55%39.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lazio (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.09%3.12quota equa
EV -0.510%
Vantaggio -0.165%
Kelly -0.243%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.41%31.96%32.05%33.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.882.883.1037.74%34.72%34.66%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.53%3.51quota equa
EV -0.161%
Vantaggio -0.046%
Kelly -0.064%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.90%28.62%28.63%30.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.313.383.5032.79%30.19%29.63%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Venezia (Casa): 39.38%; Lazio (Trasferta): 32.09%; Pareggio: 28.53%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.51. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.50, con un valore atteso del -0.161%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 39.09%EV -0.760%E -0.301%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.19%EV -1.79%E -0.586%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.72%EV -2.16%E -0.629%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-06 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.52%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -0.510%E -0.165%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.27%EV -4.30%E -1.77%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -3.72%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 18:10
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.01%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 19:15
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.01%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -0.161%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 18:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -0.161%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 18:10
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.27%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.01%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.27%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -8.72%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -6.67%E -2.81%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.89%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.01%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -0.510%E -0.165%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.72%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -0.161%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 18:10
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.01%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 19:45
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.01%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 19:45
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.01%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.01%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 19:15
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.01%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.72%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 18:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.72%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.72%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.72%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 19:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.72%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 19:08
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -3.01%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.29%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.18%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.72%EV -12.38%E -4.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.09%EV -9.29%E -2.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.19%EV -13.36%E -6.07%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.54%EV -14.95%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.27%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-06 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -15.33%E -7.13%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -8.72%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 18:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.13%10.0%2026-09-06 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-06 19:55