The School of Odds

Torino v AC Milan

2026-08-22 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

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Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Torino (Local)

Prediction 21.64%4.62fair odd
EV -6.95%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.64%21.64%21.64%22.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.264.304.3025%23%23%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

AC Milan (Visit)

Prediction 52.87%1.89fair odd
EV -6.95%
Edge -3.95%
Kelly -9.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.85%52.87%52.87%52.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.751.761.7658%57%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -6.95%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%25.49%25.49%25.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.623.653.6529%28%27%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -9.07%E -5.27%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -9.07%E -5.27%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-22 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.