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Torino v AC Milan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Torino (Local)
Prediction 21.53%4.64fair odd
EV +0.119%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.033%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%21.61%21.53%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.234.304.6526.67%23.66%23.26%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AC Milan (Visit)
Prediction 52.62%1.90fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%52.54%52.66%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.741.761.8462.50%57.57%56.82%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.85%3.87fair odd
EV +0.284%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.098%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.21%25.85%25.81%26.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.653.8830.30%27.96%27.40%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Torino (Local): 21.53%; AC Milan (Visit): 52.62%; Draw: 25.85%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.284%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.16%EV +0.119%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.48%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.36%EV +0.284%E +0.073%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.56%EV -6.13%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.82%EV -6.33%E -3.56%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.62%EV -5.14%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 05:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.57%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-20 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -0.958%E -0.208%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -6.86%E -3.87%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -6.95%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 12:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -9.57%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.25%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-20 06:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.49%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.31%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.88%E -3.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -9.49%E -5.52%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -10.83%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.88%E -3.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -9.49%E -5.52%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -10.83%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.72%E -2.86%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.67%EV -12.12%E -7.26%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -12.12%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-20 10:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -18.18%E -4.78%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -12.12%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-06-24 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -11.72%E -2.86%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.59%EV -12.12%E -7.26%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.99%EV -12.64%E -3.74%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-20 10:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.22%EV -13.88%E -3.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.05%EV -15.80%E -9.88%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.72%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-06-24 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.47%EV -19.26%E -5.14%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.00%EV -14.75%E -9.11%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-06-20 10:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.