默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Torino v AC Milan

开赛时间: 2026-08-22 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Torino (主队)

预测 21.53%4.64公平赔率
EV +0.119%
优势 +0.026%
Kelly +0.033%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.65

博彩公司预测分布
20.51%21.61%21.53%22.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.234.304.6526.67%23.66%23.26%21.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

AC Milan (客队)

预测 52.62%1.90公平赔率
EV -3.17%
优势 -1.73%
Kelly -3.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.84

博彩公司预测分布
51.35%52.54%52.66%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.741.761.8462.50%57.57%56.82%54.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.85%3.87公平赔率
EV +0.284%
优势 +0.073%
Kelly +0.098%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.88

博彩公司预测分布
25.21%25.85%25.81%26.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.583.653.8830.30%27.96%27.40%25.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Torino (主队):21.53%;AC Milan (客队):52.62%;平局:25.85%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.87。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.88,对应+0.284%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 21.16%EV +0.119%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.48%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.36%EV +0.284%E +0.073%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.6%2026-06-20 06:09
Pinnacle🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 21.56%EV -6.13%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.82%EV -6.33%E -3.56%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.62%EV -5.14%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 05:25
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.42%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.38%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.57%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-20 10:29
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -0.958%E -0.208%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -6.86%E -3.87%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -6.95%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 12:49
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -9.57%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.25%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-20 06:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.49%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.31%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 06:09
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.88%E -3.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -9.49%E -5.52%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -10.83%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.88%E -3.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -9.49%E -5.52%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -10.83%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-22 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.72%E -2.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.67%EV -12.12%E -7.26%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -12.12%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-20 10:29
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -18.18%E -4.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -12.12%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-24 21:59
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -11.72%E -2.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.59%EV -12.12%E -7.26%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.99%EV -12.64%E -3.74%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 10:29
NetBet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.22%EV -13.88%E -3.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.05%EV -15.80%E -9.88%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.72%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.39%G +0.000%17.8%2026-06-24 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.47%EV -19.26%E -5.14%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.00%EV -14.75%E -9.11%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.39%G +0.000%18.7%2026-06-20 10:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。