Language:English
Sassuolo v AC Milan
Head to Head
Sassuolo (Local)
Prediction 21.40%4.67fair odd
EV -0.488%
Edge -0.105%
Kelly -0.134%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.21%21.53%21.27%23.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.214.204.6525.97%23.76%23.81%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AC Milan (Visit)
Prediction 53.66%1.86fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.749%
Kelly +1.59%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.04%53.38%53.68%54.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.791.811.8962.11%55.85%55.40%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.94%4.01fair odd
EV +0.758%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.249%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.19%25.09%25.05%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.623.604.0429.85%27.66%27.78%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sassuolo (Local): 21.40%; AC Milan (Visit): 53.66%; Draw: 24.94%. For AC Milan (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.89, producing a positive expected value of +1.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -9.05%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV +1.42%E +0.749%K +1.59%G +0.023% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 13:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -9.05%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV +1.42%E +0.749%K +1.59%G +0.023% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -9.05%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV +1.42%E +0.749%K +1.59%G +0.023% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -9.05%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV +1.42%E +0.749%K +1.59%G +0.023% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -9.05%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV +1.42%E +0.749%K +1.59%G +0.023% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.26%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -0.730%E -0.395%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.26%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -0.730%E -0.395%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.26%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -0.730%E -0.395%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 13:17 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.40%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -1.80%E -0.985%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-16 13:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -14.40%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -1.80%E -0.985%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -14.40%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -1.80%E -0.985%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -14.40%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -1.80%E -0.985%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 13:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -14.40%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -1.80%E -0.985%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 21.26%EV -0.916%E -0.198%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.38%EV -2.88%E -1.59%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.36%EV +0.758%E +0.188%K +0.249%G +0.002% | 1.6% | 2026-09-16 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -15.47%E -3.92%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -2.88%E -1.59%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -16.45%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 13:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -15.47%E -3.92%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -2.88%E -1.59%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -16.45%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -3.41%E -1.90%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -3.70%E -0.822%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.49%E -2.52%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -7.98%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -4.49%E -2.52%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -3.70%E -0.822%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.56%E -3.16%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.40%EV -2.23%E -0.570%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.91%EV -2.84%E -0.626%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.10%E -3.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV -0.488%E -0.105%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -6.10%E -3.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.12%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.10%E -3.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 15:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.12%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.10%E -3.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 15:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.12%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.10%E -3.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.12%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.10%E -3.48%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 15:16 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -10.12%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -7.17%E -4.14%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.70%E -0.822%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.71%E -4.48%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -12.26%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.71%E -4.48%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.52%EV -11.19%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.17%EV -9.85%E -5.86%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -11.96%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.40%EV -17.61%E -4.57%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.59%EV -12.00%E -7.32%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -10.12%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -13.61%E -8.45%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.00% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.00% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00% | 16.6% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
Arbitrage (35 combinations) +0.84%NordicBet 4.65 (21.7%) / Unibet (SE) 1.89 (53.4%) / 1xBet 4.04 (25.0%)Show all 35 combinations
| Sassuolo (Local) | AC Milan (Visit) | Draw | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 4.65 (21.7%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.4%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (25.0%) | +0.839% |
| NordicBet🎯 4.65 (21.7%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 1.89 (53.4%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (25.0%) | +0.839% |
| NordicBet🎯 4.65 (21.7%) | Grosvenor🎯 1.89 (53.4%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (25.0%) | +0.839% |
| NordicBet🎯 4.65 (21.7%) | Svenska Spel🎯 1.89 (53.4%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (25.0%) | +0.839% |
| NordicBet🎯 4.65 (21.7%) | ATG (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.4%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (25.0%) | +0.839% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.63 (21.8%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.3%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.9%) | +0.745% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.63 (21.8%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 1.89 (53.3%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.9%) | +0.745% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.63 (21.8%) | Grosvenor🎯 1.89 (53.3%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.9%) | +0.745% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.63 (21.8%) | Svenska Spel🎯 1.89 (53.3%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.9%) | +0.745% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.63 (21.8%) | ATG (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.3%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.9%) | +0.745% |
| Pinnacle🎯 4.54 (22.1%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.1%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.312% |
| Pinnacle🎯 4.54 (22.1%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 1.89 (53.1%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.312% |
| Pinnacle🎯 4.54 (22.1%) | Grosvenor🎯 1.89 (53.1%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.312% |
| Pinnacle🎯 4.54 (22.1%) | Svenska Spel🎯 1.89 (53.1%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.312% |
| Pinnacle🎯 4.54 (22.1%) | ATG (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.1%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.312% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Grosvenor🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Svenska Spel🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | ATG (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Grosvenor🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Svenska Spel🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | ATG (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Grosvenor🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | Svenska Spel🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 4.50 (22.2%) | ATG (SE)🎯 1.89 (53.0%) | 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | +0.115% |
| NordicBet🎯 4.65 (21.5%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 1.89 (52.9%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.92 (25.5%) | +0.074% |
| NordicBet🎯 4.65 (21.5%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 1.89 (52.9%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.92 (25.5%) | +0.074% |
| NordicBet🎯 4.65 (21.5%) | Grosvenor🎯 1.89 (52.9%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.92 (25.5%) | +0.074% |
| NordicBet🎯 4.65 (21.5%) | Svenska Spel🎯 1.89 (52.9%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.92 (25.5%) | +0.074% |
| NordicBet🎯 4.65 (21.5%) | ATG (SE)🎯 1.89 (52.9%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.92 (25.5%) | +0.074% |