默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sassuolo v AC Milan

2026-10-11 16:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sassuolo (主队)

预测 21.34%4.69公平赔率
EV -0.774%
优势 -0.166%
Kelly -0.212%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.65

博彩公司预测分布
20.21%21.38%21.27%22.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.284.254.6525.97%23.34%23.53%21.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

AC Milan (客队)

预测 53.72%1.86公平赔率
EV -0.615%
优势 -0.332%
Kelly -0.723%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
51.14%53.59%53.68%54.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.771.781.8562.11%56.41%56.18%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.94%4.01公平赔率
EV +0.755%
优势 +0.187%
Kelly +0.248%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.04

博彩公司预测分布
24.19%25.03%25.05%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.643.654.0429.41%27.48%27.40%24.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Sassuolo (主队):21.34%;AC Milan (客队):53.72%;平局:24.94%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.01。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.04,由此产生+0.755%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 21.26%EV -1.20%E -0.259%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.38%EV -2.76%E -1.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.36%EV +0.755%E +0.187%K +0.248%G +0.002%1.6%2026-09-16 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -3.97%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.45%E -3.10%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.40%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.97%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 19:40
Pinnacle🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 20.91%EV -3.12%E -0.688%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -3.97%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 16:10
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -7.60%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.24%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 20:50
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 15:16
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 15:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 15:16
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -0.615%E -0.332%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 20:01
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -0.615%E -0.332%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 20:00
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -0.615%E -0.332%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -0.615%E -0.332%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -0.615%E -0.332%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 20:00
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV -0.774%E -0.166%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 13:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.31%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 20:00
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -13.51%E -8.39%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-16 16:05
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.31%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -2.76%E -1.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 20:00
Bally Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.31%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -2.76%E -1.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 20:00
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.31%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -2.76%E -1.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -10.28%E -6.16%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.29%EV -11.96%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 20:49
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 20:00
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -12.51%E -3.05%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -12.51%E -3.05%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 20:01
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -12.51%E -3.05%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.40%EV -17.85%E -4.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.59%EV -11.90%E -7.25%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-16 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.51%E -3.05%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.51%E -3.05%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 20:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 21.78%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%16.2%2026-09-16 20:50