Parma v Cagliari

2026-08-22 13:00 — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Parma (Local)

Odds

2.3043.48%Min

2.5339.49%Mean

2.5040.00%Median

2.7436.50%Max

Consensus probabilities

35.55%2.813Min

37.30%2.681Max

36.09%2.771Mean

35.92%2.784Median

36.08%2.772IQM

36.10%2.770Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.74 under the IQM model: 36.08%

EV -1.14%Edge -0.418%Kelly -0.657%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Cagliari (Visit)

Odds

2.5040.00%Min

2.7736.09%Mean

2.7536.36%Median

3.0033.33%Max

Consensus probabilities

31.94%3.130Min

33.97%2.944Max

32.98%3.032Mean

32.96%3.034Median

32.99%3.031IQM

32.98%3.032Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.00 under the IQM model: 32.99%

EV -1.03%Edge -0.342%Kelly -0.513%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

2.7536.36%Min

2.9733.62%Mean

2.8934.60%Median

3.2031.25%Max

Consensus probabilities

29.51%3.388Min

32.50%3.077Max

30.92%3.234Mean

31.12%3.213Median

30.93%3.233IQM

30.92%3.234Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.20 under the IQM model: 30.93%

EV -1.02%Edge -0.320%Kelly -0.466%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Parma (Local) ▼	Cagliari (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.74I 36.50% NM 35.93%EV -1.14% E -0.418% K -0.657% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 32.82%EV -1.03% E -0.342% K -0.513% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 31.25%EV -2.57% E -0.816% K -1.20% G +0.000%	1.6%	2026-07-03 21:00
Marathon Bet	2.68I 37.31% NM 35.91%EV -3.31% E -1.23% K -1.97% G +0.000%	2.93I 34.13% NM 32.85%EV -3.34% E -1.14% K -1.73% G +0.000%	3.08I 32.47% NM 31.25%EV -4.74% E -1.54% K -2.28% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-03 20:55
Tipico (DE)	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.56%EV -4.39% E -1.66% K -2.66% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 31.94%EV -2.68% E -0.907% K -1.37% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 32.50%EV -10.30% E -3.55% K -5.42% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-04 09:05
Caesars	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.55%EV -4.39% E -1.66% K -2.66% G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09% NM 33.05%EV -5.97% E -2.10% K -3.23% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.40%EV -7.21% E -2.40% K -3.61% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-25 22:46
Pinnacle	2.63I 38.02% NM 35.84%EV -5.11% E -1.94% K -3.14% G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84% NM 32.84%EV -5.31% E -1.85% K -2.84% G +0.000%	3.01I 33.22% NM 31.32%EV -6.90% E -2.29% K -3.43% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-24 08:50
SportsBet	2.62I 38.17% NM 36.30%EV -5.47% E -2.09% K -3.38% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.97%EV -7.62% E -2.72% K -4.24% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.72%EV -1.02% E -0.320% K -0.466% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-26 05:19
betfred_uk	2.62I 38.17% NM 36.30%EV -5.47% E -2.09% K -3.38% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.97%EV -7.62% E -2.72% K -4.24% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.72%EV -1.02% E -0.320% K -0.466% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-26 05:20
Codere (IT)	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.74%EV -6.19% E -2.38% K -3.87% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 32.94%EV -4.33% E -1.49% K -2.28% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 30.32%EV -2.57% E -0.816% K -1.20% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-04 03:28
FanDuel	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.48%EV -6.19% E -2.38% K -3.87% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.88%EV -7.62% E -2.72% K -4.24% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.64%EV -1.02% E -0.320% K -0.466% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-26 05:20
Betr (AU)	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.31%EV -6.19% E -2.38% K -3.87% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.72%EV -7.62% E -2.72% K -4.24% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.97%EV -2.57% E -0.816% K -1.20% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 02:59
Sky Bet	2.60I 38.46% NM 35.92%EV -6.19% E -2.38% K -3.87% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.96%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 30.12%EV -4.12% E -1.33% K -1.96% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-26 05:20
Bet Victor	2.55I 39.22% NM 36.59%EV -8.00% E -3.14% K -5.16% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.32%EV -7.62% E -2.72% K -4.24% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 30.09%EV -4.12% E -1.33% K -1.96% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-05 12:48
LeoVegas	2.55I 39.22% NM 36.01%EV -8.00% E -3.14% K -5.16% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.39%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.61%EV -7.21% E -2.40% K -3.61% G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-07-03 19:40
Winamax (DE)	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.83%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.48%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.70%EV -4.12% E -1.33% K -1.96% G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-03 19:40
Paddy Power	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.60%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.89%EV -10.92% E -4.05% K -6.43% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.51%EV -4.12% E -1.33% K -1.96% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-26 05:18
Unibet (UK)	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.46%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.15%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.39%EV -7.21% E -2.40% K -3.61% G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-03 19:40
Unibet	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
LeoVegas (SE)	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
TABtouch	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
LiveScore Bet	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:10
Casumo	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
Unibet (SE)	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
Grosvenor	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
Virgin Bet	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
Unibet (NL)	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
Svenska Spel	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
betPARX	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
Bally Bet	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
ATG (SE)	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 06:09
BetRivers	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.01%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.27% E -3.37% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.26%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-20 07:59
BoyleSports	2.50I 40.00% NM 35.79%EV -9.80% E -3.92% K -6.54% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.14%EV -10.92% E -4.05% K -6.43% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 31.07%EV -10.92% E -3.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.40I 41.67% NM 35.77%EV -13.41% E -5.59% K -9.58% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 33.02%EV -14.22% E -5.47% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 31.22%EV -14.94% E -5.43% K -8.54% G +0.000%	16.5%	2026-06-26 05:19
Betclic (FR)	2.37I 42.19% NM 37.09%EV -14.49% E -6.12% K -10.58% G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31% NM 32.80%EV -11.58% E -4.32% K -6.89% G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25% NM 30.11%EV -9.68% E -3.32% K -5.04% G +0.000%	13.8%	2026-07-03 19:39
Unibet (FR)	2.35I 42.55% NM 37.30%EV -15.21% E -6.47% K -11.27% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 32.47%EV -10.92% E -4.05% K -6.43% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 30.23%EV -10.30% E -3.55% K -5.42% G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-07-03 19:40
NetBet (FR)	2.35I 42.55% NM 36.25%EV -15.21% E -6.47% K -11.27% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 32.77%EV -14.22% E -5.47% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 30.98%EV -14.94% E -5.43% K -8.54% G +0.000%	17.4%	2026-07-03 19:40
Winamax (FR)	2.30I 43.48% NM 36.67%EV -17.02% E -7.40% K -13.09% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 33.74%EV -17.52% E -7.01% K -11.68% G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09% NM 29.59%EV -11.85% E -4.16% K -6.41% G +0.000%	18.6%	2026-07-03 19:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Parma (Local)	Cagliari (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.72I 36.76%	2.90I 34.48%	3.05I 32.79%	4.0%	2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.72I 36.76%	2.90I 34.48%	3.05I 32.79%	4.0%	2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.72I 36.76%	2.90I 34.48%	3.05I 32.79%	4.0%	2026-07-05 10:10
Smarkets	2.48I 40.32%	2.72I 36.76%	2.98I 33.56%	10.6%	2026-07-03 05:50