La escuela de los momios

Parma v Cagliari

2026-08-22 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Parma (Local)

Predicción 36.26%2.76momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.375%
Kelly -0.592%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.00%36.21%36.36%37.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.572.602.7342.55%38.85%38.46%36.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cagliari (Visitante)

Predicción 33.07%3.02momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.487%
Kelly -0.732%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.94%33.08%33.00%33.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.812.802.9838.17%35.64%35.71%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.67%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.576%
Kelly -0.837%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.43%30.70%30.64%32.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.003.2035.71%33.08%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 36.08%EV -1.02%E -0.375%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05%EV -1.45%E -0.487%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.87%EV -2.15%E -0.674%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-16 00:15
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 20:35
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 20:35
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.06%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.08%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV -4.30%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-16 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 35.64%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -5.09%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 35.64%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -5.09%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 20:25
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.34%EV -6.75%E -2.22%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.44%E -0.828%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 11:04
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 22:46
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.30%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 05:19
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 22:33
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 19:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 19:49
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 19:50
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 16:44
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:50
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 05:20
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 17:05
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 17:05
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 17:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:09
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 05:20
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 20:39
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:09
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.837%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 18:29
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 06:09
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 06:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-09 07:34
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 12:14
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 20:35
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 00:10
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 21:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 09:35
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -10.71%E -3.97%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 12:50
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -10.71%E -3.97%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 05:18
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 12:50
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 12:49
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.71%E -3.97%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.71%E -3.97%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-22 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -11.18%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -12.36%E -4.67%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 12:50
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.98%EV -12.26%E -5.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.90%EV -10.05%E -3.69%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.13%EV -8.90%E -3.00%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-23 18:50
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.79%EV -11.70%E -4.38%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-22 13:45
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -13.36%E -5.10%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 16:40
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.08%EV -14.80%E -6.30%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -12.36%E -4.67%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-23 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.50%4.1%2026-07-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.50%4.1%2026-07-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.50%4.1%2026-07-25 19:55
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 35.49%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%5.1%2026-07-26 03:05