La scuola delle quote

Lazio v Sassuolo

Inizio: 2026-03-08 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lazio (Casa)

Previsione 44.18%2.26quota equa
EV +0.740%
Vantaggio +0.325%
Kelly +0.578%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.23%44.35%44.18%47.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.892.062.052.2852.91%48.49%48.78%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sassuolo (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.85%3.72quota equa
EV +6.06%
Vantaggio +1.53%
Kelly +2.05%
Crescita +0.124%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.10%26.67%26.89%28.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.603.603.9531.25%27.77%27.78%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.97%3.45quota equa
EV +1.38%
Vantaggio +0.394%
Kelly +0.551%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.55%28.99%28.93%30.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.74%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -9.86%E -4.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.06%E +1.53%K +2.05%G +0.124%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV +1.38%E +0.394%K +0.551%G +0.008%2.9%2026-02-26 10:49
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -9.86%E -4.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.06%E +1.53%K +2.05%G +0.124%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV +1.38%E +0.394%K +0.551%G +0.008%2.9%2026-02-26 10:49
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -9.86%E -4.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.06%E +1.53%K +2.05%G +0.124%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV +1.38%E +0.394%K +0.551%G +0.008%2.9%2026-02-26 10:49
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -9.86%E -4.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.06%E +1.53%K +2.05%G +0.124%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV +1.38%E +0.394%K +0.551%G +0.008%2.9%2026-02-26 10:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV +4.72%E +1.21%K +1.63%G +0.077%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 23:04
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +4.72%E +1.21%K +1.63%G +0.077%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 23:04
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -8.98%E -4.36%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV +3.37%E +0.876%K +1.18%G +0.040%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 15:30
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -12.96%E -6.58%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 10:49
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 23:04
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 23:05
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -13.84%E -7.10%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.97%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 10:49
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.91%EV -1.03%E -0.459%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.37%EV +0.152%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.72%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.7%2026-02-27 18:44
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -0.653%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 09:30
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -15.61%E -8.17%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -0.653%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 10:49
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -16.49%E -8.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 10:49
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -16.49%E -8.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 10:49
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.58%EV -2.80%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.69%EV -6.15%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:39
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 09:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 18:44
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 09:30
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 09:28
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.28%EV -5.89%E -2.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.34%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.38%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 14:04
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.28%EV -5.89%E -2.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.34%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.38%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 14:05
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 18:44
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 18:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:55
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV +0.740%E +0.325%K +0.578%G +0.004%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.69%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.92%EV -6.44%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 12:45
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -1.91%E -0.861%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:39
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -1.91%E -0.861%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:39
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -1.47%E -0.659%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 04:26
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 15:54
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -10.31%E -5.08%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.57%EV -8.17%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.67%EV -8.18%E -2.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 17:30
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 06:24
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 08:13
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 18:00
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.19%EV -13.84%E -7.10%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-26 09:29
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 15:54
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 15:59
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 08:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-27 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-27 15:54
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 21:47
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%5.4%2026-02-27 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%5.4%2026-02-27 11:24
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%6.6%2026-02-26 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 19.46%1.06I 94.34%NM 39.30%1.01I 99.01%NM 41.24%140.1%2026-02-27 11:14