Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lazio v Sassuolo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lazio (Local)

Prévision 44.18%2.26cote équitable
EV +0.740%
Avantage +0.325%
Kelly +0.578%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.23%44.35%44.18%47.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.892.062.052.2852.91%48.49%48.78%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sassuolo (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.85%3.72cote équitable
EV +6.06%
Avantage +1.53%
Kelly +2.05%
Croissance +0.124%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.10%26.67%26.89%28.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.603.603.9531.25%27.77%27.78%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.97%3.45cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.394%
Kelly +0.551%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.55%28.99%28.93%30.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.74%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lazio (Local) : 44.18% ; Sassuolo (Visiteur) : 26.85% ; Match nul : 28.97%. Pour Sassuolo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.72. 19 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.95, soit une espérance positive de +6.06%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -9.86%E -4.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.06%E +1.53%K +2.05%G +0.124%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV +1.38%E +0.394%K +0.551%G +0.008%2.9%2026-02-26 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -9.86%E -4.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.06%E +1.53%K +2.05%G +0.124%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV +1.38%E +0.394%K +0.551%G +0.008%2.9%2026-02-26 10:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -9.86%E -4.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.06%E +1.53%K +2.05%G +0.124%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV +1.38%E +0.394%K +0.551%G +0.008%2.9%2026-02-26 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -9.86%E -4.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.06%E +1.53%K +2.05%G +0.124%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV +1.38%E +0.394%K +0.551%G +0.008%2.9%2026-02-26 10:49
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV +4.72%E +1.21%K +1.63%G +0.077%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 23:04
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +4.72%E +1.21%K +1.63%G +0.077%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 23:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -8.98%E -4.36%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV +3.37%E +0.876%K +1.18%G +0.040%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 15:30
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -12.96%E -6.58%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 10:49
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -13.40%E -6.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 23:04
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -13.84%E -7.10%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV +2.03%E +0.535%K +0.726%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.97%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 10:49
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.91%EV -1.03%E -0.459%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.37%EV +0.152%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.72%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.7%2026-02-27 18:44
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -0.653%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 09:30
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -15.61%E -8.17%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -0.653%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -16.49%E -8.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -16.49%E -8.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 10:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.58%EV -2.80%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.69%EV -6.15%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:39
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 09:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 18:44
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 09:30
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 09:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.28%EV -5.89%E -2.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.34%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.38%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.28%EV -5.89%E -2.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.34%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.38%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 18:45
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:59
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV +0.740%E +0.325%K +0.578%G +0.004%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.69%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.92%EV -6.44%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -1.91%E -0.861%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:39
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -1.91%E -0.861%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:39
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -1.47%E -0.659%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 04:26
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -10.31%E -5.08%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.57%EV -8.17%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.67%EV -8.18%E -2.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 17:30
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 06:24
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 08:13
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.19%EV -13.84%E -7.10%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-26 09:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 15:54
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 15:59
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:39
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 08:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-27 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-27 15:54
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 21:47
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%5.4%2026-02-27 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%5.4%2026-02-27 11:24
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%6.6%2026-02-26 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 19.46%1.06I 94.34%NM 39.30%1.01I 99.01%NM 41.24%140.1%2026-02-27 11:14