Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genoa v Napoli

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 18:45 UTC

Final: Genoa 0–2 Napoli

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genoa (Local)

Prediction 22.30%4.48fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.276%
Kelly -0.356%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.39%22.37%22.21%23.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.194.204.4325.64%23.89%23.81%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Napoli (Visit)

Prediction 47.34%2.11fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.978%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.54%47.37%47.35%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0952.63%50.09%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.37%3.29fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.583%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%30.26%30.43%31.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.113.103.2533.33%32.17%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genoa (Local): 22.30%; Napoli (Visit): 47.34%; Draw: 30.37%. For Napoli (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.09, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.43I 22.57%NM 22.22%EV -1.22%E -0.276%K -0.356%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.11%EV -1.07%E -0.510%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.67%EV -2.53%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Pinnacle🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.26%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.61%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-22 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.47%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.47%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.47%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.47%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.88%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.88%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 08:44
BetAnything🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.88%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 08:45
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.37%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 06:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24%EV -6.75%E -3.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 15:20
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -1.89%E -0.430%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.69%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.63%EV -4.65%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 15:14
BetUS🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.13%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.95%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 15:15
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.69%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 12:22
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 15:09
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 14:15
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.51%EV -5.80%E -2.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 12:24
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -7.69%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 15:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:14
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -5.24%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.26%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 14:14
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.47%EV -4.85%E -2.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 15:19
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 09:55
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.84%EV -6.27%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Everygame🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:15
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.10%EV -7.22%E -3.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -9.11%E -4.75%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.69%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 12:24
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.28%EV -6.75%E -3.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:14
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.28%EV -6.75%E -3.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:14
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.28%EV -6.75%E -3.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:14
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.28%EV -6.75%E -3.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:14
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -7.69%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.06%E -5.29%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 15:20
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 04:19
GTbets🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 22.55%EV -7.02%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.97%EV -7.22%E -3.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.48%EV -3.13%E -0.982%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:15
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.64%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:29
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.64%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:29
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.15%EV -7.22%E -3.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 14:14
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.69%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:14
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%EV -7.22%E -3.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -7.69%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:14
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -7.69%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:14
Caesars🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -9.70%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.50%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 07:24
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:24
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:14
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:13
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 07:24
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 07:25
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 12:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 07:24
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 12:30
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 15:09
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -6.27%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -6.27%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 14:15
Bet Right🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -5.33%E -2.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 22.19%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72%0.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%0.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%0.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%0.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.08%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.37%2.0%2026-08-22 11:30