The School of OddsGenoa v Napoli
Head to Head
Option 1: Genoa (Local)
Odds
3.9525.32%Min
4.7521.05%Mean
4.9020.41%Median
5.1119.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
17.99%5.560Min
21.36%4.683Max
19.82%5.044Mean
19.85%5.038Median
19.89%5.028IQM
19.76%5.061Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.11 under the IQM model: 19.89%
EV +1.64%Edge +0.321%Kelly +0.399%Growth +0.007%
Option 2: Napoli (Visit)
Odds
1.6361.35%Min
1.7258.09%Mean
1.7158.48%Median
1.9052.63%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.47%1.981Min
55.17%1.813Max
51.95%1.925Mean
51.79%1.931Median
51.85%1.929IQM
51.92%1.926Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.90 under the IQM model: 51.85%
EV -1.48%Edge -0.779%Kelly -1.64%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
2.9533.90%Min
3.3230.09%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.55%3.767Min
29.71%3.366Max
28.22%3.543Mean
28.36%3.526Median
28.26%3.539IQM
28.32%3.531Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.26%
EV -1.10%Edge -0.314%Kelly -0.440%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Genoa (Local) ▼ | Napoli (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.11I 19.57% NM 19.26%EV +1.64% E +0.321% K +0.399% G +0.007% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 51.80%EV -1.48% E -0.779% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 28.94%EV -3.93% E -1.15% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-07-03 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.00I 20.00% NM 19.25%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76% NM 51.75%EV -3.55% E -1.91% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12% NM 28.99%EV -6.19% E -1.86% K -2.67% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-03 22:00 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.89%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.48%EV -6.66% E -3.70% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.63%EV -6.75% E -2.05% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:10 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Bally Bet | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.99%EV -0.550% E -0.110% K -0.137% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 55.17%EV -15.48% E -9.50% K -24.57% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.84%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 07:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.83%EV -4.53% E -0.943% K -1.19% G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25% NM 52.58%EV -6.15% E -3.40% K -7.59% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 27.59%EV -2.51% E -0.728% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.69%EV -4.53% E -0.943% K -1.19% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.66%EV -5.11% E -2.79% K -6.16% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.65%EV -6.75% E -2.05% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Pinnacle | 4.74I 21.10% NM 19.81%EV -5.72% E -1.21% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76% NM 50.48%EV -3.55% E -1.91% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65% NM 29.71%EV -10.71% E -3.39% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 4.70I 21.28% NM 20.24%EV -6.52% E -1.39% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25% NM 52.57%EV -6.15% E -3.40% K -7.59% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.19%EV -1.10% E -0.314% K -0.440% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 12:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.55%EV -8.51% E -1.85% K -2.36% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.65%EV -5.11% E -2.79% K -6.16% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.80%EV -3.93% E -1.15% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.49%EV -8.51% E -1.85% K -2.36% G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95% NM 51.79%EV -5.63% E -3.09% K -6.86% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -3.93% E -1.15% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.19%EV -8.51% E -1.85% K -2.36% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 52.48%EV -8.22% E -4.64% K -10.68% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.32%EV -3.93% E -1.15% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.73%EV -10.49% E -2.33% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 51.83%EV -6.66% E -3.70% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.93% E -1.15% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 12:54 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.47%EV -10.49% E -2.33% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 51.18%EV -6.66% E -3.70% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.35%EV -8.16% E -2.51% K -3.63% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.44%EV -10.49% E -2.33% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 51.68%EV -7.70% E -4.33% K -9.87% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.88%EV -6.75% E -2.05% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 12:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.43%EV -10.49% E -2.33% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 52.53%EV -9.26% E -5.29% K -12.34% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.04%EV -3.93% E -1.15% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 12:52 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22% NM 19.12%EV -10.49% E -2.33% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 53.12%EV -16.00% E -9.88% K -25.80% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 27.76%EV -12.40% E -4.00% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-06-25 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.11%EV -12.48% E -2.84% K -3.67% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 50.75%EV -5.11% E -2.79% K -6.16% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.14%EV -6.75% E -2.05% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 12:48 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.40I 22.73% NM 20.82%EV -12.48% E -2.84% K -3.67% G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47% NM 52.64%EV -9.78% E -5.62% K -13.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.55%EV -2.51% E -0.728% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.35I 22.99% NM 20.17%EV -13.48% E -3.10% K -4.02% G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52% NM 52.23%EV -12.89% E -7.67% K -18.95% G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45% NM 27.59%EV -10.14% E -3.19% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 09:56 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26% NM 20.39%EV -14.47% E -3.37% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52% NM 52.20%EV -12.89% E -7.67% K -18.95% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.41%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26% NM 19.75%EV -14.47% E -3.37% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 51.47%EV -14.44% E -8.75% K -22.22% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 28.79%EV -16.64% E -5.64% K -8.53% G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-07-04 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.03%EV -16.46% E -3.92% K -5.14% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 50.47%EV -9.26% E -5.29% K -12.34% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.49%EV -12.40% E -4.00% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32% NM 21.36%EV -21.43% E -5.43% K -7.27% G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98% NM 51.43%EV -14.96% E -9.12% K -23.38% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 27.21%EV -12.40% E -4.00% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Genoa (Local) | Napoli (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28% | 1.87I 53.48% | 3.35I 29.85% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28% | 1.87I 53.48% | 3.35I 29.85% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28% | 1.87I 53.48% | 3.30I 30.30% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22% | 1.85I 54.05% | 3.25I 30.77% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |