L’École des cotes

Genoa v Napoli

2026-08-22 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Genoa (Local)

Prévision 20.26%4.93cote équitable
EV +5.37%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.069%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.92%20.21%20.35%22.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.684.555.2023.81%21.37%21.98%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Napoli (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.18%1.95cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.74%51.26%51.27%55.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.791.801.9160.24%56.00%55.56%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.55%3.50cote équitable
EV -0.064%
Avantage -0.018%
Kelly -0.025%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.62%28.53%28.38%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.333.303.5032.79%30.06%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV +5.37%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.069%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -14.01%E -8.34%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
1xBet5.06I 19.76%NM 19.45%EV +2.54%E +0.501%K +0.625%G +0.016%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%EV -2.24%E -1.17%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.03%EV -3.20%E -0.945%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-22 12:13
Marathon Bet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.46%EV +0.308%E +0.062%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -4.29%E -2.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.02%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 12:14
Pinnacle4.81I 20.79%NM 19.74%EV -2.53%E -0.526%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -3.78%E -2.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:50
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -2.73%E -0.569%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.29%E -2.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 09:37
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -2.73%E -0.569%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 17:04
BetOnline.ag4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.75%E -0.788%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.15%EV -4.80%E -2.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.75%E -0.788%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.15%EV -4.80%E -2.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 20:25
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -3.75%E -0.788%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 07:15
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -3.75%E -0.788%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.98%EV -15.04%E -9.06%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -3.75%E -0.788%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.98%EV -15.04%E -9.06%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-22 00:09
Bovada4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -4.76%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -3.78%E -2.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 16:44
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -4.76%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.74%EV -5.82%E -3.17%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -2.92%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:05
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -4.76%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 01:35
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -4.76%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 01:35
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.78%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 15:44
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -6.78%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -12.91%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 18:50
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 15:50
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.92%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 01:44
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.92%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 01:44
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.92%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 01:34
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.96%EV -6.85%E -3.76%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -0.064%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 05:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 01:44
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 01:44
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 01:45
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.92%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.92%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 00:35
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -9.41%E -5.31%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -2.92%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 15:45
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.20%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 01:04
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 00:25
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.81%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.89%E -5.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.20%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 01:04
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.84%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.84%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.34%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 09:04
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.84%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -10.43%E -5.96%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -2.92%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 15:43
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.84%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -9.92%E -5.64%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 01:05
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -10.84%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.02%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -12.91%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-15 18:55
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -10.84%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.30%EV -12.48%E -7.30%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -12.91%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 07:25
Betclic (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -11.85%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 01:03
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-23 13:30
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -12.86%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 23:05
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -12.86%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 01:34
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -14.89%E -3.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -2.24%E -1.17%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 22:33
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -14.89%E -3.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 19:50
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -14.89%E -3.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 19:49
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -14.89%E -3.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 19:50
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72%EV -14.89%E -3.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.20%EV -12.99%E -7.64%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-26 01:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.41%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%5.0%2026-07-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.41%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%5.0%2026-07-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.41%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%5.0%2026-07-25 12:50
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%7.2%2026-07-26 03:05