Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Como v Parma

2026-09-14 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Como (Local)

Prediction 70.55%1.42fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -6.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.54%70.60%70.24%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.331.3878.74%75.44%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Parma (Visit)

Prediction 10.21%9.79fair odd
EV +4.19%
Edge +0.410%
Kelly +0.455%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 10.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.42%10.20%10.20%12.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.019.0010.2014.29%11.09%11.11%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.24%5.20fair odd
EV +0.033%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.12%19.20%19.56%20.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.764.805.2023.26%20.99%20.83%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Como (Local): 70.55%; Parma (Visit): 10.21%; Draw: 19.24%. For Parma (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.79. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.20, producing a positive expected value of +4.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.29%EV -2.64%E -1.92%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.65%EV +4.19%E +0.410%K +0.455%G +0.019%5.16I 19.38%NM 19.07%EV -0.736%E -0.143%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-31 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.14%E +0.214%K +0.238%G +0.005%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +0.033%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 02:10
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -2.96%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.81%E -0.763%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 14:18
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -8.07%E -0.897%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.62%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 22:05
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.07%E -0.897%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -9.59%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.07%E -0.897%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -9.59%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.07%E -0.897%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -9.59%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 15:20
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -8.07%E -0.897%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -3.81%E -0.763%K -0.954%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 03:45
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.06%EV -4.05%E -2.98%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.89%EV -10.62%E -1.21%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -3.81%E -0.763%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 01:07
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.02%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -13.18%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.50%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -13.18%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -13.18%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -13.18%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.58%EV -10.40%E -8.19%K -38.53%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.78%EV -16.24%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.43%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-01 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -20.84%E -2.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.54%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.35%EV -28.50%E -4.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.11%EV -17.28%E -4.02%K -5.24%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-01 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 69.52%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.48%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.01%5.0%2026-08-31 22:10