默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Como v Parma

2026-09-14 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Como (主队)

预测 70.52%1.42公平赔率
EV -2.69%
优势 -1.95%
Kelly -7.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布
67.54%70.58%70.20%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.331.331.3878.74%75.42%75.19%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Parma (客队)

预测 10.23%9.78公平赔率
EV +4.30%
优势 +0.422%
Kelly +0.467%
增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 10.20

博彩公司预测分布
9.42%10.20%10.25%12.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.009.019.0010.2014.29%11.09%11.11%9.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.26%5.19公平赔率
EV +0.139%
优势 +0.027%
Kelly +0.033%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.20

博彩公司预测分布
18.12%19.22%19.55%20.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.304.764.805.2023.26%20.99%20.83%19.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Como (主队):70.52%;Parma (客队):10.23%;平局:19.26%。 对于“Parma (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.78。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为10.20,由此产生+4.30%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.29%EV -2.69%E -1.95%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.65%EV +4.30%E +0.422%K +0.467%G +0.020%5.16I 19.38%NM 19.07%EV -0.631%E -0.122%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-31 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%EV -8.33%E -6.41%K -27.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.26%E +0.226%K +0.251%G +0.006%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +0.139%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 02:10
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -7.62%E -5.82%K -24.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -2.86%E -0.301%K -0.336%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.742%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 14:18
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -6.21%E -4.67%K -18.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -7.97%E -0.886%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 22:05
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.33%E -6.41%K -27.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.97%E -0.886%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -3.71%E -0.742%K -0.928%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 03:55
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.92%E -5.24%K -21.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.97%E -0.886%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.92%E -5.24%K -21.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.97%E -0.886%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.92%E -5.24%K -21.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.97%E -0.886%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 15:20
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.06%EV -4.10%E -3.01%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.89%EV -10.53%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -3.71%E -0.742%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 01:07
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.02%EV -5.51%E -4.11%K -16.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -13.08%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -11.42%E -2.48%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.50%EV -7.62%E -5.82%K -24.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -13.08%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.42%E -2.48%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.33%E -6.41%K -27.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -13.08%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.33%E -6.41%K -27.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -13.08%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.58%EV -10.44%E -8.22%K -38.68%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.78%EV -16.15%E -1.97%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-01 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.21%E -4.67%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -18.20%E -2.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.42%E -2.48%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -6.21%E -4.67%K -18.83%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -20.75%E -2.68%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.54%EV -9.74%E -7.61%K -34.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.35%EV -28.42%E -4.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.11%EV -17.19%E -4.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-01 01:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 69.52%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.48%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.01%5.0%2026-08-31 22:10