The School of Odds

Bologna v Lazio

2026-08-22 13:00 — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Bologna (Local)

1.9750.76%Min
1.9850.57%Mean
1.9750.76%Median
2.0548.78%Max
45.36%2.204Min
45.88%2.180Max
45.68%2.189Mean
45.68%2.189Median
45.68%2.189IQM
45.73%2.187Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.05 under the IQM model: 45.68%

EV -6.35%Edge -3.10%Kelly -6.05%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Lazio (Visit)

3.5028.57%Min
3.5128.48%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.6727.25%Max
25.60%3.906Min
25.66%3.897Max
25.61%3.904Mean
25.61%3.904Median
25.61%3.904IQM
25.62%3.904Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.67 under the IQM model: 25.61%

EV -5.99%Edge -1.63%Kelly -2.25%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.1032.26%Min
3.1132.12%Mean
3.1032.26%Median
3.3030.30%Max
28.50%3.509Min
28.97%3.451Max
28.70%3.484Mean
28.70%3.484Median
28.70%3.484IQM
28.65%3.491Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 28.70%

EV -5.28%Edge -1.60%Kelly -2.30%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBologna (Local) ▼Lazio (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.13I 46.95% NM 46.27%EV -2.70% E -1.27% K -2.39% G +0.000%3.83I 26.11% NM 25.73%EV -1.90% E -0.495% K -0.670% G +0.000%3.52I 28.41% NM 28.00%EV +1.03% E +0.294% K +0.411% G +0.004%1.5%2026-06-25 08:49
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.03%EV -6.35% E -3.10% K -6.05% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.21%EV -7.79% E -2.16% K -3.00% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.75%EV -2.41% E -0.709% K -1.00% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 16:59
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78% NM 45.88%EV -6.35% E -3.10% K -6.05% G +0.000%3.67I 27.25% NM 25.63%EV -5.99% E -1.63% K -2.25% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.50%EV -5.28% E -1.60% K -2.30% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 16:10
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 45.86%EV -8.64% E -4.32% K -8.64% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.48%EV -7.79% E -2.16% K -3.00% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.66%EV -8.15% E -2.55% K -3.70% G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 10:29
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51% NM 46.34%EV -9.55% E -4.82% K -9.74% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.85%EV -9.07% E -2.55% K -3.56% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.81%EV -5.28% E -1.60% K -2.30% G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 10:29
Unibet1.98I 50.51% NM 45.36%EV -9.55% E -4.82% K -9.74% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.66%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.97%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-20 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51% NM 45.36%EV -9.55% E -4.82% K -9.74% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.66%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.97%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-20 06:10
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51% NM 45.36%EV -9.55% E -4.82% K -9.74% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.66%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.97%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-20 06:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:09
TABtouch1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:09
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:10
Casumo1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:09
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:09
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:09
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:09
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:09
betPARX1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:09
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:09
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:09
BetRivers1.97I 50.76% NM 45.49%EV -10.01% E -5.08% K -10.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.60%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.91%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 07:59
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28% NM 45.40%EV -10.92% E -5.60% K -11.49% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.04%EV -12.91% E -3.80% K -5.38% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.56%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-23 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63% NM 46.39%EV -13.20% E -6.95% K -14.67% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.18%EV -10.35% E -2.96% K -4.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.43%EV -11.02% E -3.56% K -5.25% G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-20 10:29
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63% NM 46.19%EV -13.20% E -6.95% K -14.67% G +0.000%3.48I 28.74% NM 25.22%EV -10.86% E -3.12% K -4.38% G +0.000%3.07I 32.57% NM 28.59%EV -11.88% E -3.87% K -5.74% G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 10:29
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35% NM 45.70%EV -15.94% E -8.67% K -18.98% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.28%EV -18.03% E -5.64% K -8.20% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.03%EV -13.89% E -4.63% K -6.95% G +0.000%18.9%2026-06-20 10:29
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64% NM 46.38%EV -16.40% E -8.96% K -19.76% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 25.33%EV -14.19% E -4.24% K -6.04% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.29%EV -13.89% E -4.63% K -6.95% G +0.000%17.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth