Bologna v Lazio

2026-08-22 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

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Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

45%

26%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Bologna (Local)

Prediction 45.45%2.20fair odd

EV -6.83%

Edge -3.33%

Kelly -6.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.95%45.45%45.45%45.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.042.052.0550%49%49%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Lazio (Visit)

Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd

EV -6.83%

Edge -1.90%

Kelly -2.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.88%25.88%25.88%26.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.453.583.603.6029%28%28%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.67%3.49fair odd

EV -6.83%

Edge -2.10%

Kelly -3.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.67%28.67%28.67%29.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.103.233.253.2532%31%31%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 00:10
LiveScore Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-07-22 00:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.