Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bologna v Lazio

Inizio: 2026-08-22 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bologna (Casa)

Previsione 45.59%2.19quota equa
EV -2.89%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.20%45.52%45.55%46.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.012.052.1354.64%49.68%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lazio (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.85%3.87quota equa
EV -0.999%
Vantaggio -0.261%
Kelly -0.353%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.18%25.85%25.90%26.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.553.603.8331.25%28.17%27.78%26.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.56%3.50quota equa
EV +0.531%
Vantaggio +0.151%
Kelly +0.211%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.75%28.62%28.56%29.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.253.5233.33%31.16%30.77%28.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Bologna (Casa): 45.59%; Lazio (Trasferta): 25.85%; Pareggio: 28.56%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.50. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.52, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.531%.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.27%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.73%EV -0.999%E -0.261%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 28.00%EV +0.531%E +0.151%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.5%2026-06-25 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -9.73%E -4.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.24%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 10:29
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.82%E -4.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 10:29
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.20%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.29%EV -7.46%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.51%EV -8.89%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 04:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -8.82%E -4.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.82%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -8.82%E -4.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.82%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 00:09
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -10.19%E -5.17%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.53%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 06:10
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.10%E -5.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-23 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -13.38%E -7.04%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -9.53%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-20 10:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.19%EV -13.38%E -7.04%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.22%EV -10.05%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.59%EV -12.32%E -4.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 10:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.38%EV -16.57%E -9.05%K -19.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.33%EV -13.41%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.29%EV -14.32%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%17.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 45.70%EV -16.11%E -8.76%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -17.28%E -5.40%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.03%EV -14.32%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%18.9%2026-06-20 10:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.