The School of Odds

Atalanta BC v Sassuolo

2026-08-23 18:45 — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Atalanta BC (Local)

Odds
1.3872.46%Min
1.4966.98%Mean
1.5066.67%Median
1.5962.89%Max
Consensus probabilities
59.26%1.687Min
63.33%1.579Max
61.70%1.621Mean
61.84%1.617Median
61.77%1.619IQM
61.85%1.617Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.59 under the IQM model: 61.77%

EV -1.79%Edge -1.12%Kelly -3.03%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Sassuolo (Visit)

Odds
4.6021.74%Min
5.6717.64%Mean
6.0016.67%Median
6.1416.29%Max
Consensus probabilities
15.16%6.595Min
18.29%5.466Max
16.27%6.146Mean
16.06%6.226Median
16.15%6.190IQM
16.14%6.195Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.14 under the IQM model: 16.15%

EV -0.812%Edge -0.132%Kelly -0.158%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.7526.67%Min
4.2023.79%Mean
4.2523.53%Median
4.5022.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.16%4.727Min
22.94%4.359Max
22.03%4.539Mean
22.09%4.526Median
22.08%4.530IQM
22.01%4.543Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 22.08%

EV -0.662%Edge -0.147%Kelly -0.189%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAtalanta BC (Local) ▼Sassuolo (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.59I 62.89% NM 62.02%EV -1.79% E -1.12% K -3.03% G +0.000%6.14I 16.29% NM 16.06%EV -0.812% E -0.132% K -0.158% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 21.91%EV -0.662% E -0.147% K -0.189% G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-02 14:03
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52% NM 62.09%EV -4.26% E -2.75% K -7.74% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 16.04%EV -3.07% E -0.512% K -0.615% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.87%EV -2.87% E -0.652% K -0.844% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-02 14:00
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.44%EV -4.26% E -2.75% K -7.74% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.42%EV -6.30% E -1.09% K -1.31% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 22.15%EV -5.08% E -1.18% K -1.54% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:05
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36% NM 62.18%EV -5.49% E -3.59% K -10.36% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.85%EV -3.07% E -0.512% K -0.615% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.97%EV -4.41% E -1.02% K -1.33% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 10:59
Caesars1.53I 65.36% NM 61.76%EV -5.49% E -3.59% K -10.36% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.75%EV -3.07% E -0.512% K -0.615% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.50%EV -7.28% E -1.73% K -2.28% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 22:46
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79% NM 62.23%EV -6.11% E -4.02% K -11.75% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.77%EV -3.07% E -0.512% K -0.615% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 22.00%EV -5.08% E -1.18% K -1.54% G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 02:59
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79% NM 61.65%EV -6.11% E -4.02% K -11.75% G +0.000%5.64I 17.73% NM 16.61%EV -8.89% E -1.58% K -1.92% G +0.000%4.31I 23.20% NM 21.74%EV -4.86% E -1.13% K -1.47% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79% NM 60.37%EV -6.11% E -4.02% K -11.75% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.68%EV -11.15% E -2.03% K -2.48% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.94%EV -11.70% E -2.92% K -3.90% G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 01:29
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.86%EV -7.34% E -4.90% K -14.69% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.71%EV -3.07% E -0.512% K -0.615% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.43%EV -2.87% E -0.652% K -0.844% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 05:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67% NM 62.64%EV -7.34% E -4.90% K -14.69% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.66%EV -3.07% E -0.512% K -0.615% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.70%EV -4.41% E -1.02% K -1.33% G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 11:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67% NM 62.22%EV -7.34% E -4.90% K -14.69% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.56%EV -3.07% E -0.512% K -0.615% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.22%EV -7.28% E -1.73% K -2.28% G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67% NM 61.28%EV -7.34% E -4.90% K -14.69% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 17.34%EV -14.38% E -2.71% K -3.34% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.38%EV -5.08% E -1.18% K -1.54% G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 01:30
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67% NM 61.00%EV -7.34% E -4.90% K -14.69% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.95%EV -12.77% E -2.36% K -2.90% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.05%EV -8.39% E -2.02% K -2.66% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-02 10:20
DraftKings1.49I 67.11% NM 60.71%EV -7.96% E -5.34% K -16.25% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.23%EV -15.19% E -2.89% K -3.57% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.06%EV -9.49% E -2.32% K -3.06% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-29 00:09
FanDuel1.48I 67.57% NM 63.17%EV -8.58% E -5.80% K -17.87% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.58%EV -3.07% E -0.512% K -0.615% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.25%EV -2.87% E -0.652% K -0.844% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 11:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03% NM 63.33%EV -9.20% E -6.26% K -19.57% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.52%EV -3.07% E -0.512% K -0.615% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.16%EV -2.87% E -0.652% K -0.844% G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97% NM 60.58%EV -10.43% E -7.20% K -23.18% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 16.89%EV -16.00% E -3.08% K -3.81% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.52%EV -13.91% E -3.57% K -4.80% G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-25 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97% NM 60.31%EV -10.43% E -7.20% K -23.18% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 17.15%EV -17.61% E -3.45% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.88I 25.77% NM 22.54%EV -14.35% E -3.70% K -4.98% G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-29 01:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44% NM 63.18%EV -11.05% E -7.67% K -25.12% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.16%EV -3.07% E -0.512% K -0.615% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.66%EV -7.28% E -1.73% K -2.28% G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-19 11:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44% NM 60.68%EV -11.05% E -7.67% K -25.12% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.48%EV -19.23% E -3.85% K -4.81% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.84%EV -11.70% E -2.92% K -3.90% G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-25 04:50
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42% NM 59.26%EV -12.29% E -8.65% K -29.25% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 18.29%EV -25.69% E -5.58% K -7.14% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 22.44%EV -17.22% E -4.59% K -6.26% G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-29 01:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43% NM 60.85%EV -13.52% E -9.66% K -33.80% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 15.49%EV -11.15% E -2.03% K -2.48% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.66%EV -20.53% E -5.70% K -7.90% G +0.000%17.4%2026-06-19 10:00
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46% NM 61.76%EV -14.76% E -10.69% K -38.83% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 16.39%EV -16.00% E -3.08% K -3.81% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 21.85%EV -13.91% E -3.57% K -4.80% G +0.000%17.3%2026-07-04 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerAtalanta BC (Local)Sassuolo (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%5.40I 18.52%3.95I 25.32%10.9%2026-07-02 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%1.09I 91.74%3.15I 31.75%87.6%2026-07-05 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%1.09I 91.74%3.15I 31.75%87.6%2026-07-05 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%1.06I 94.34%3.15I 31.75%90.2%2026-07-05 10:20