La escuela de los momios

Atalanta BC v Sassuolo

2026-08-23 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atalanta BC (Local)

Predicción 61.67%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -3.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.69%61.69%61.71%63.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.511.501.5970.42%66.36%66.67%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sassuolo (Visitante)

Predicción 16.52%6.05momio equitativo
EV +1.60%
Ventaja +0.260%
Kelly +0.310%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.16%16.54%16.45%17.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.695.756.1520.00%17.58%17.39%16.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.81%4.58momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.411%
Kelly -0.528%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.92%21.76%21.84%22.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.274.304.5025.00%23.41%23.26%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.50%EV +1.60%E +0.260%K +0.310%G +0.005%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.50%EV +1.60%E +0.260%K +0.310%G +0.005%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 20:25
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02%EV -1.95%E -1.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 16.06%EV +1.43%E +0.233%K +0.279%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-17 04:35
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -4.41%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 04:30
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 04:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 22:46
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 05:59
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 11:00
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.73%E -5.90%K -18.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 11:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 10:00
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 08:38
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.11%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-09 07:34
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.20%E -7.78%K -25.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -0.881%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-19 11:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.41%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -2.53%E -0.429%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 21:59
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.41%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -2.53%E -0.429%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 21:59
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.90%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.44%EV -4.19%E -0.722%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 05:05
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -4.19%E -0.722%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 06:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.01%E -0.871%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 20:20
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.01%E -0.871%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.01%E -0.871%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 20:20
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.01%E -0.871%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.01%E -0.871%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 20:20
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -6.26%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.61%EV -6.83%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.74%EV -5.99%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 15:00
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -6.26%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.61%EV -6.83%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.74%EV -5.99%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 23:19
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%EV -3.80%E -2.43%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06%EV -7.49%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 15:09
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -4.41%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 06:10
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 04:30
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 21:59
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.62%EV -12.43%E -8.75%K -29.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.51%EV -12.44%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-22 13:45
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 09:35
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 05:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 60.71%EV -8.11%E -5.45%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 11:15
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.03%EV -9.96%E -6.82%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -11.66%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 04:59
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -14.10%E -2.71%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 05:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.08%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -14.10%E -2.71%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 05:00
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.88%EV -8.73%E -5.90%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 05:00
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.72%EV -10.58%E -7.30%K -23.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 05:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.20%E -7.78%K -25.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-23 14:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%3.9%2026-07-25 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%3.9%2026-07-25 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%3.9%2026-07-25 16:05
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%9.4%2026-07-26 03:05