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Atalanta BC v Cagliari

2026-09-12 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atalanta BC (Local)

Prediction 64.51%1.55fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.83%64.38%64.55%65.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.5273.53%69.28%69.44%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cagliari (Visit)

Prediction 13.41%7.46fair odd
EV +7.28%
Edge +0.910%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.076%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.75%13.33%13.50%15.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.796.508.0017.54%14.72%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.08%4.53fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.432%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.49%22.28%21.95%24.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.164.204.6026.32%24.02%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atalanta BC (Local): 64.51%; Cagliari (Visit): 13.41%; Draw: 22.08%. For Cagliari (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.46. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.00, producing a positive expected value of +7.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.51%EV -4.52%E -3.05%K -9.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV +7.28%E +0.910%K +1.04%G +0.076%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:15
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.67%EV -1.94%E -1.28%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.68%EV +3.93%E +0.507%K +0.582%G +0.023%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.65%EV -4.18%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-30 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.66%EV -3.88%E -2.60%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.68%EV +1.92%E +0.252%K +0.290%G +0.006%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +0.575%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:15
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -3.23%E -2.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.60%EV -5.81%E -3.98%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 16:15
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -4.52%E -3.05%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -9.48%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.54%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.79%EV -11.49%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -6.46%E -4.45%K -14.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV +1.56%E +0.338%K +0.432%G +0.007%6.1%2026-08-30 16:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -6.46%E -4.45%K -14.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:15
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.90%E -3.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.90%E -3.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.90%E -3.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.26%E -9.02%K -34.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.83%EV -10.97%E -7.95%K -28.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.21%EV -23.56%E -4.13%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.95%EV -12.79%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-30 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.27%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%5.1%2026-08-30 18:55