默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atalanta BC v Cagliari

2026-09-12 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atalanta BC (主队)

预测 64.51%1.55公平赔率
EV -1.94%
优势 -1.28%
Kelly -3.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.52

博彩公司预测分布
62.83%64.38%64.55%65.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.441.441.5273.53%69.28%69.44%65.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cagliari (客队)

预测 13.41%7.46公平赔率
EV +7.28%
优势 +0.910%
Kelly +1.04%
增长率 +0.076%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
11.75%13.33%13.50%15.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.706.796.508.0017.54%14.72%15.38%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.08%4.53公平赔率
EV +1.56%
优势 +0.338%
Kelly +0.432%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.49%22.28%21.95%24.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.164.204.6026.32%24.02%23.81%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Atalanta BC (主队):64.51%;Cagliari (客队):13.41%;平局:22.08%。 对于“Cagliari (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.46。 有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为8.00,由此产生+7.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.51%EV -4.52%E -3.05%K -9.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV +7.28%E +0.910%K +1.04%G +0.076%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:15
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.67%EV -1.94%E -1.28%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.68%EV +3.93%E +0.507%K +0.582%G +0.023%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.65%EV -4.18%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-30 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.66%EV -3.88%E -2.60%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.68%EV +1.92%E +0.252%K +0.290%G +0.006%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +0.575%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:15
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -3.23%E -2.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.60%EV -5.81%E -3.98%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 16:15
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -4.52%E -3.05%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -9.48%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.54%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.79%EV -11.49%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -6.46%E -4.45%K -14.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV +1.56%E +0.338%K +0.432%G +0.007%6.1%2026-08-30 16:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -6.46%E -4.45%K -14.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:15
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.90%E -3.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.90%E -3.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.90%E -3.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.26%E -9.02%K -34.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.83%EV -10.97%E -7.95%K -28.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.21%EV -23.56%E -4.13%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.95%EV -12.79%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-30 15:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.27%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%5.1%2026-08-30 18:55