AS Roma v Fiorentina

2026-08-22 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

63%

15%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

AS Roma (Local)

Prediction 62.65%1.60fair odd

EV -6.65%

Edge -4.47%

Kelly -13.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.07%62.65%62.65%62.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.471.491.491.4968%67%67%67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fiorentina (Visit)

Prediction 14.59%6.86fair odd

EV -6.65%

Edge -1.04%

Kelly -1.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.59%14.59%14.59%15.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

5.756.276.406.4017%16%16%16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.77%4.39fair odd

EV -6.65%

Edge -1.62%

Kelly -2.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.77%22.77%22.77%23.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.854.054.104.1026%25%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -6.65%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.17%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -15.41%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.21%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-07-22 00:10
LiveScore Bet	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.07%EV -7.91%E -5.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV -16.14%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -12.35%E -3.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.07%EV -7.91%E -5.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV -16.14%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -12.35%E -3.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-07-22 00:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.