Lingua:Italiano
AS Roma v Fiorentina
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
AS Roma (Casa)
Previsione 61.77%1.62quota equa
EV -3.63%
Vantaggio -2.33%
Kelly -6.49%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.99%61.91%61.77%64.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.481.491.5671.43%67.59%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Fiorentina (Trasferta)
Previsione 15.29%6.54quota equa
EV +3.21%
Vantaggio +0.475%
Kelly +0.557%
Crescita +0.018%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.49%15.32%15.34%17.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.806.066.406.7520.83%16.51%15.63%14.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 22.94%4.36quota equa
EV +2.07%
Vantaggio +0.465%
Kelly +0.600%
Crescita +0.012%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.41%22.77%22.89%23.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.014.104.4527.78%24.92%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: AS Roma (Casa): 61.77%; Fiorentina (Trasferta): 15.29%; Pareggio: 22.94%. Per Fiorentina (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.54. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 6.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.21%.
Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.22%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.61%EV +3.21%E +0.475%K +0.557%G +0.018% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.16%EV +2.07%E +0.465%K +0.600%G +0.012% | 1.4% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -9.19%E -6.25%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -0.617%E -0.095%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV +0.924%E +0.210%K +0.272%G +0.003% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 07:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.15%E -0.335%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.64%EV -11.66%E -8.16%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.68%EV -6.73%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -9.40%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-20 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.05%E -7.67%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -8.26%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.84%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-24 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.55%EV -6.11%E -4.02%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.80%EV -9.48%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.65%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-17 04:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.17%EV -8.58%E -5.79%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -11.32%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -12.08%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-25 04:26 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.07%EV -9.19%E -6.25%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV -12.08%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.07%EV -9.19%E -6.25%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV -12.08%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.91%E -2.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-25 04:26 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.25%EV -9.81%E -6.72%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -17.44%E -3.23%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-25 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -9.81%E -6.72%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -17.44%E -3.23%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -15.13%E -4.09%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-25 04:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.69%EV -13.52%E -9.66%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.03%EV -18.96%E -3.58%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.28%EV -16.28%E -4.46%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-07-14 05:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 58.99%EV -11.66%E -8.16%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.57%EV -26.61%E -5.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.43%EV -17.43%E -4.84%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-06-25 04:26 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.