Language:English
AS Roma v Fiorentina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AS Roma (Local)
Prediction 61.57%1.62fair odd
EV -0.880%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.76%61.66%61.52%63.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.6169.44%65.45%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fiorentina (Visit)
Prediction 15.31%6.53fair odd
EV +10.26%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.170%
assuming max odds 7.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.48%15.17%15.38%17.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.126.007.2018.18%16.33%16.67%13.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.12%4.33fair odd
EV +2.89%
Edge +0.649%
Kelly +0.837%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.80%23.17%23.10%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.074.104.4528.57%24.56%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AS Roma (Local): 61.57%; Fiorentina (Visit): 15.31%; Draw: 23.12%. For Fiorentina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.53. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.42%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.48%EV +10.26%E +1.42%K +1.65%G +0.170% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +7.20%E +1.03%K +1.20%G +0.086% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 17:12 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.40%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV +3.37%E +0.499%K +0.586%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.90%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.08%EV +2.60%E +0.388%K +0.456%G +0.012% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.06%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.06%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.44%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.17%EV -1.99%E -0.311%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-04 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%EV -3.34%E -2.13%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV -1.99%E -0.311%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%EV -3.34%E -2.13%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV -1.99%E -0.311%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.72%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV -1.99%E -0.311%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.72%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV -1.99%E -0.311%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.44%EV -4.29%E -0.686%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.44%EV -4.29%E -0.686%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.63%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -4.29%E -0.686%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 18:26 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.63%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -4.29%E -0.686%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.75%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.34%EV -5.06%E -0.815%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -9.50%E -6.46%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -5.06%E -0.815%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -6.59%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -6.59%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.57%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.57%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 17:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -6.42%E -4.22%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -4.57%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.42%E -4.22%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.42%E -4.22%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -4.57%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.27%E -5.55%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -8.88%E -6.00%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.73%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.65%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.27%E -5.55%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.65%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.57%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -11.95%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -3.34%E -2.13%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -11.95%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.64%EV -6.42%E -4.22%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -11.95%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -0.880%E -0.546%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.93%EV -12.25%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.00%EV -2.11%E -1.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.20%EV -13.63%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV +2.89%E +0.649%K +0.837%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -14.24%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -14.24%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -14.24%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -11.35%E -7.88%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -15.77%E -2.87%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -19.08%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |