Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

AS Roma v Fiorentina

Inicio: 2026-05-04 18:45 UTC

Final: AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

AS Roma (Local)

Predicción 61.57%1.62momio equitativo
EV -0.880%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.76%61.66%61.52%63.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.6169.44%65.45%65.36%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fiorentina (Visitante)

Predicción 15.31%6.53momio equitativo
EV +10.26%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.170%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.48%15.17%15.38%17.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.126.007.2018.18%16.33%16.67%13.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.12%4.33momio equitativo
EV +2.89%
Ventaja +0.649%
Kelly +0.837%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.80%23.17%23.10%24.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.504.074.104.4528.57%24.56%24.39%22.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: AS Roma (Local): 61.57%; Fiorentina (Visitante): 15.31%; Empate: 23.12%. Para Fiorentina (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.53. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.26%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.42%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.48%EV +10.26%E +1.42%K +1.65%G +0.170%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 18:00
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +7.20%E +1.03%K +1.20%G +0.086%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 17:12
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.40%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV +3.37%E +0.499%K +0.586%G +0.020%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-04 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.90%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.08%EV +2.60%E +0.388%K +0.456%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.06%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-04 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.06%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-04 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 17:55
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -0.461%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.44%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.17%EV -1.99%E -0.311%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-04 18:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%EV -3.34%E -2.13%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV -1.99%E -0.311%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%EV -3.34%E -2.13%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV -1.99%E -0.311%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.72%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV -1.99%E -0.311%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 18:10
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.72%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV -1.99%E -0.311%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.44%EV -4.29%E -0.686%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.44%EV -4.29%E -0.686%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 18:40
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.63%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -4.29%E -0.686%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 18:26
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.63%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -4.29%E -0.686%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 18:30
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.75%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.34%EV -5.06%E -0.815%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -9.50%E -6.46%K -20.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -5.06%E -0.815%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -6.59%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -6.59%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.57%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 18:35
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.57%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 17:54
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 18:25
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 18:34
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -6.42%E -4.22%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -4.57%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 18:10
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 18:40
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.42%E -4.22%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.42%E -4.22%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 17:55
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -4.57%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.04%E -4.66%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 16:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 18:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.27%E -5.55%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 18:35
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -8.88%E -6.00%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.12%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.73%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.65%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 18:39
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.27%E -5.55%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.65%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.57%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -11.95%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 18:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -3.34%E -2.13%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -11.95%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.64%EV -6.42%E -4.22%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -11.95%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 18:20
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -0.880%E -0.546%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.93%EV -12.25%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 18:35
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.00%EV -2.11%E -1.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.20%EV -13.63%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV +2.89%E +0.649%K +0.837%G +0.024%3.1%2026-05-04 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -14.24%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 18:05
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -14.24%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.65%E -5.10%K -15.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -14.24%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.20%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -11.35%E -7.88%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -15.77%E -2.87%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -19.08%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-04 15:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-04 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-04 18:40
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-04 18:35
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-04 18:35
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-05-04 18:10