L’École des cotes

AS Roma v Fiorentina

2026-08-24 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AS Roma (Local)

Prévision 61.16%1.63cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -4.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.88%61.21%61.16%63.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.521.521.5969.93%65.91%65.79%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fiorentina (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.80%6.33cote équitable
EV +2.69%
Avantage +0.415%
Kelly +0.490%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.41%15.79%15.79%17.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.916.006.5020.00%16.91%16.67%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.04%4.34cote équitable
EV +1.37%
Avantage +0.311%
Kelly +0.402%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.43%23.00%23.05%24.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.034.004.4027.03%24.79%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.32%EV -7.03%E -4.63%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV +2.69%E +0.415%K +0.490%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 09:54
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -8.26%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +2.69%E +0.415%K +0.490%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 09:53
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -8.87%E -5.95%K -18.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV +2.69%E +0.415%K +0.490%G +0.013%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -2.09%E -0.491%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 09:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +2.69%E +0.415%K +0.490%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 09:55
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 15.31%EV +1.75%E +0.271%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.67%EV +0.215%E +0.050%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-17 04:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.18%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV +1.11%E +0.174%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 01:40
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.18%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV +1.11%E +0.174%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 01:40
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.08%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.27%EV -0.465%E -0.074%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%EV -2.09%E -0.491%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 04:24
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -1.25%E -0.201%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 05:24
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -8.26%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -1.25%E -0.201%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 09:55
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.84%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV -2.83%E -0.461%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.84%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV -2.83%E -0.461%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 20:25
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.20%E -0.867%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:05
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.20%E -0.867%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 05:49
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -8.26%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.20%E -0.867%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.37%E +0.311%K +0.402%G +0.005%6.1%2026-07-22 12:14
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.20%E -0.867%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-16 20:19
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.20%E -0.867%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 09:35
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.20%E -0.867%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 09:34
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.93%E -8.28%K -27.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -5.20%E -0.867%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 09:54
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 61.63%EV -7.03%E -4.63%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 15.80%EV -6.31%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.39%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 05:25
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.63%EV -7.03%E -4.63%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 15.80%EV -6.31%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.39%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -8.36%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 02:54
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -8.36%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 02:54
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -9.15%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 05:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -9.15%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 02:54
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.26%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.15%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 04:24
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -7.03%E -4.63%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -9.15%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 09:30
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.02%EV -7.03%E -4.63%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -13.10%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 00:03
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.26%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.10%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 00:09
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.26%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.10%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 00:25
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 60.00%EV -7.64%E -5.06%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -13.10%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-16 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.40%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.10%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.34%EV -11.76%E -3.07%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.11%EV -12.54%E -8.77%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -13.10%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.46%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 00:14
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -7.03%E -4.63%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -14.68%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 08:25
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -8.26%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -16.26%E -3.07%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 00:03
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.88%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.49%EV -16.26%E -3.07%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.63%EV -14.76%E -3.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 00:04
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -11.93%E -8.28%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -21.00%E -4.20%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -12.46%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-23 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.31%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.31%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.31%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-07-25 22:29
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%9.4%2026-07-24 09:55