The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Udinese v Venezia

Kickoff: 2026-09-02 16:00 UTC

Final: Udinese 2–1 Venezia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Udinese (Local)

Prediction 54.06%1.85fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.56%54.04%54.11%55.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.741.8360.61%57.48%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Venezia (Visit)

Prediction 20.52%4.87fair odd
EV -0.050%
Edge -0.010%
Kelly -0.013%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.52%20.40%20.47%22.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.444.504.8725.00%22.52%22.22%20.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.42%3.93fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.82%25.56%25.42%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.7829.41%27.77%27.78%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Udinese (Local): 54.06%; Venezia (Visit): 20.52%; Draw: 25.42%. For Venezia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.872. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.870, with an expected value of -0.050%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -1.07%E -0.584%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -13.80%E -3.29%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 15:20
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.81%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.82%EV -0.665%E -0.137%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.37%EV -3.93%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:50
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:50
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 15:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 15:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -15.85%E -3.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -15.85%E -3.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.10%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -17.91%E -4.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 15:55
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -17.91%E -4.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.51%E -0.529%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 15:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 15:50
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.27%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.52%EV -0.050%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.21%EV -4.18%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -3.54%E -0.753%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 15:58
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 15:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.80%E -6.54%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -3.54%E -0.753%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-09-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-02 15:45