Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Udinese v Venezia

2026-09-02 16:00 UTC — Coppa Italia

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Udinese (Local)

Prediction 47.47%2.11fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.25%47.51%48.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.961.962.0552.91%51.01%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Venezia (Visit)

Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%25.46%25.45%26.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.8229.41%27.78%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.12%3.69fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.49%27.30%27.04%28.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.403.403.5030.77%29.39%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Udinese (Local): 47.47%; Venezia (Visit): 25.41%; Draw: 27.12%. For Udinese (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.05, with an expected value of -2.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 05:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 05:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 05:40
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 05:40
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 05:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 05:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.47%EV -5.53%E -2.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 06:30
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 05:39
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.29%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 05:40
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.75%EV -2.95%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 05:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 05:40
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 05:39
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.78%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.98%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.24%EV -7.25%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:40
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 05:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 06:35
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 05:39
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 05:40
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 05:39
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 05:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 05:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 05:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -9.80%E -5.16%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.27%E -5.44%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 05:39
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.27%E -5.44%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 05:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%4.6%2026-08-31 06:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%4.6%2026-08-31 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%4.6%2026-08-31 06:40