Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Udinese v Venezia

2026-09-02 16:00 UTC — Coppa Italia

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Udinese (Casa)

Previsione 47.47%2.11quota equa
EV -2.68%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -2.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.05%47.25%47.51%48.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.891.961.962.0552.91%51.01%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Venezia (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.41%3.94quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -0.773%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.75%25.46%25.45%26.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.603.603.8229.41%27.78%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.12%3.69quota equa
EV -5.08%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.49%27.30%27.04%28.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.403.403.5030.77%29.39%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Udinese (Casa): 47.47%; Venezia (Trasferta): 25.41%; Pareggio: 27.12%. Per Udinese (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.11. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.05, con un valore atteso del -2.68%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 05:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 05:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 05:40
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 05:40
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 05:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 05:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.47%EV -5.53%E -2.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 06:30
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 05:39
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.29%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 05:40
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.75%EV -2.95%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 05:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 05:40
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 05:39
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.78%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.98%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.24%EV -7.25%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:40
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 05:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 06:35
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 05:39
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 05:40
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 05:39
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 05:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 05:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 05:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -9.80%E -5.16%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.27%E -5.44%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 05:39
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.27%E -5.44%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 05:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%4.6%2026-08-31 06:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%4.6%2026-08-31 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%4.6%2026-08-31 06:40