Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Udinese v Venezia

Inizio: 2026-09-02 16:00 UTC

Finale: Udinese 2–1 Venezia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Udinese (Casa)

Previsione 54.06%1.85quota equa
EV -1.07%
Vantaggio -0.584%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.56%54.04%54.11%55.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.741.741.8360.61%57.48%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Venezia (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.52%4.87quota equa
EV -0.050%
Vantaggio -0.010%
Kelly -0.013%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.52%20.40%20.47%22.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.444.504.8725.00%22.52%22.22%20.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.42%3.93quota equa
EV -3.93%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.82%25.56%25.42%26.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.603.603.7829.41%27.77%27.78%26.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Udinese (Casa): 54.06%; Venezia (Trasferta): 20.52%; Pareggio: 25.42%. Per Venezia (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.872. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.870, con un valore atteso del -0.050%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -1.07%E -0.584%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -13.80%E -3.29%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 15:20
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.81%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.82%EV -0.665%E -0.137%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.37%EV -3.93%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:50
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:50
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 15:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 15:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -15.85%E -3.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -15.85%E -3.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.10%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -17.91%E -4.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 15:55
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -17.91%E -4.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.51%E -0.529%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 15:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 15:50
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.27%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.52%EV -0.050%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.21%EV -4.18%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -3.54%E -0.753%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 15:58
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 15:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.80%E -6.54%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -3.54%E -0.753%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-09-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-09-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-02 15:45