The School of Odds
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Sassuolo v Frosinone

2026-09-02 13:00 UTC — Coppa Italia

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sassuolo (Local)

Prediction 49.67%2.01fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.14%49.73%49.68%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.881.9555.56%53.55%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Frosinone (Visit)

Prediction 23.49%4.26fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.323%
Kelly -0.424%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.89%23.27%23.51%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.913.904.2027.03%25.58%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.00%26.81%28.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.403.403.5530.77%29.44%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sassuolo (Local): 49.67%; Frosinone (Visit): 23.49%; Draw: 26.84%. For Frosinone (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.36%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 05:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.13%E -2.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 05:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.13%E -2.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 05:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -5.13%E -2.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 05:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -5.13%E -2.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 05:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -5.13%E -2.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 05:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -5.13%E -2.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 05:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.75%EV -5.62%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.62%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 06:30
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -5.62%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 05:34
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.34%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.86%EV -2.77%E -0.668%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -5.25%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 05:30
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 05:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 05:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 05:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 05:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 05:35
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.11%E -3.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 05:55
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.11%E -3.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 05:30
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -8.11%E -4.38%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.76%EV -3.94%E -0.963%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.91%EV -7.13%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 06:00
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.10%E -4.97%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 05:30
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.10%E -4.97%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 06:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -9.10%E -4.97%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -9.58%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 05:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -9.10%E -4.97%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -9.58%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 05:35
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -9.10%E -4.97%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -13.10%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 05:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -9.10%E -4.97%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -13.10%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 05:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.60%E -5.27%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -13.10%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -9.60%E -5.27%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -9.58%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 05:30
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -9.60%E -5.27%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -9.58%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 05:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.59%E -5.88%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.36%E -0.323%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 05:34
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.59%E -5.88%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 06:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%4.2%2026-08-31 05:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%4.2%2026-08-31 05:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%4.2%2026-08-31 05:45