语言:简体中文
Sassuolo v Frosinone
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sassuolo (主队)
预测 48.91%2.04公平赔率
EV -3.64%
优势 -1.85%
Kelly -3.75%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.97
博彩公司预测分布
47.45%48.99%48.80%52.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.871.871.9757.47%53.49%53.48%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
Frosinone (客队)
预测 26.16%3.82公平赔率
EV +7.27%
优势 +1.77%
Kelly +2.34%
增长率 +0.170%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
23.09%26.12%26.10%27.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.633.604.1029.85%27.54%27.78%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.92%4.01公平赔率
EV -0.305%
优势 -0.076%
Kelly -0.102%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.60%24.90%25.10%26.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.693.754.0028.57%27.08%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sassuolo (主队)：48.91%；Frosinone (客队)：26.16%；平局：24.92%。 对于“Frosinone (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.82。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.10，对应+7.27%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.31%EV -11.47%E -6.34%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV +7.27%E +1.77%K +2.34%G +0.170% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.31%EV -11.47%E -6.34%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV +7.27%E +1.77%K +2.34%G +0.170% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.31%EV -11.47%E -6.34%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV +7.27%E +1.77%K +2.34%G +0.170% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV +0.726%E +0.189%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV +0.726%E +0.189%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.89%E -8.56%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV +0.726%E +0.189%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.84%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -1.11%E -0.292%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.01%EV -1.30%E -0.329%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.79%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.23%EV -5.04%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.96%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.98%E -6.03%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.98%E -6.03%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -11.47%E -6.34%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.81%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.81%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.81%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.81%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -0.305%E -0.076%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 12:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -11.96%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 12:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 12:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.02%EV -10.00%E -5.43%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |