The School of Odds
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Pisa v Empoli

2026-08-17 16:00 UTC — Coppa Italia

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pisa (Local)

Prediction 48.50%2.06fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.68%48.40%48.56%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.52%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Empoli (Visit)

Prediction 23.79%4.20fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -0.796%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%23.77%23.72%25.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.843.804.1027.78%26.03%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -0.861%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%27.82%27.72%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.323.5032.26%30.09%30.12%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pisa (Local): 48.50%; Empoli (Visit): 23.79%; Draw: 27.71%. For Empoli (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -2.47%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 05:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 07:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 07:19
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 07:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 07:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 07:20
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.03%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.31%EV -3.42%E -0.842%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.67%EV -5.23%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 05:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 07:25
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -6.88%E -3.58%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 05:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -6.88%E -3.58%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 05:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -6.88%E -3.58%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -6.88%E -3.58%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -6.88%E -3.58%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 05:40
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 05:44
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.39%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.87%EV -7.45%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 06:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 07:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 05:39
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 05:44
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 07:24
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 07:28
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 05:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.19%EV -9.79%E -5.26%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 07:25
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 05:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 05:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 05:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.47%E -0.602%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 05:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 05:39
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-14 05:44
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -12.70%E -7.05%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-14 05:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 48.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%5.3%2026-08-14 07:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 48.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%5.3%2026-08-14 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 48.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%5.3%2026-08-14 07:25

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