Langue:Français
Pisa v Empoli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pisa (Local)
Prévision 57.77%1.73cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -6.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.73%57.90%57.81%60.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.591.601.6664.94%62.79%62.50%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Empoli (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.87%5.60cote équitable
EV +9.71%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.183%
avec la cote maximale 6.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.57%17.59%17.91%20.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.405.315.256.1422.73%18.83%19.05%16.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.36%4.11cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.641%
Kelly -0.854%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.39%24.50%24.28%25.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.813.804.0027.78%26.28%26.32%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pisa (Local) : 57.77% ; Empoli (Visiteur) : 17.87% ; Match nul : 24.36%. Pour Empoli (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.60. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.14, soit une espérance positive de +9.71%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.52%EV -8.72%E -5.52%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.57%EV +9.71%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.183% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -2.56%E -0.641%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.30%E -5.92%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +7.21%E +1.20%K +1.44%G +0.104% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -2.56%E -0.641%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 15:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV +1.85%E +0.324%K +0.393%G +0.007% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +0.060%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +0.060%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +0.060%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +0.060%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +0.060%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -9.30%E -5.92%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.56%E -0.641%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -9.30%E -5.92%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-17 15:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.41%E -3.96%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -3.51%E -0.651%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.56%E -0.641%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.41%E -3.96%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -6.99%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.99%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -11.03%E -7.16%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -11.03%E -7.16%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.99%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -6.41%E -3.96%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 15:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 15:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.99%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.99%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.99%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-17 15:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.87%EV -11.55%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.85%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -6.41%E -3.96%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -21.38%E -4.86%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 0.3% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.02% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.20% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |