默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Parma v Cremonese

开赛时间: 2026-09-01 16:00 UTC

最终结果: Parma 0–2 Cremonese

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Parma (主队)

预测 40.28%2.48公平赔率
EV -3.72%
优势 -1.56%
Kelly -2.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.39

博彩公司预测分布
39.45%40.28%40.27%42.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.142.262.252.3946.73%44.25%44.44%41.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cremonese (客队)

预测 30.30%3.30公平赔率
EV -0.026%
优势 -0.008%
Kelly -0.011%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.53%30.26%30.28%31.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.123.153.3034.48%32.10%31.75%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.42%3.40公平赔率
EV -2.91%
优势 -0.881%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.63%29.46%29.45%30.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.143.123.3033.33%31.80%32.05%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Parma (主队):40.28%;Cremonese (客队):30.30%;平局:29.42%。 对于“Cremonese (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.301。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.300,期望值为-0.026%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.28%EV -3.72%E -1.56%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.53%EV -4.08%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 15:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.53%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.53%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.42%EV -5.74%E -2.45%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 15:40
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 15:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 15:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 15:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 15:30
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:55
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -2.15%E -0.665%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.50%EV -6.73%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 15:50
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 15:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 15:29
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 15:30
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -8.20%E -2.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 15:54
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -8.20%E -2.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 15:45
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 15:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.63%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 15:35
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.026%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.026%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.026%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.026%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.026%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-01 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -13.79%E -6.45%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -13.79%E -6.45%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 15:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-01 15:55