Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Parma v Cremonese

Inizio: 2026-09-01 16:00 UTC

Finale: Parma 0–2 Cremonese

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Parma (Casa)

Previsione 40.28%2.48quota equa
EV -3.72%
Vantaggio -1.56%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.45%40.28%40.27%42.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.142.262.252.3946.73%44.25%44.44%41.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cremonese (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.30%3.30quota equa
EV -0.026%
Vantaggio -0.008%
Kelly -0.011%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.53%30.26%30.28%31.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.123.153.3034.48%32.10%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.42%3.40quota equa
EV -2.91%
Vantaggio -0.881%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.63%29.46%29.45%30.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.143.123.3033.33%31.80%32.05%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Parma (Casa): 40.28%; Cremonese (Trasferta): 30.30%; Pareggio: 29.42%. Per Cremonese (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.301. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.300, con un valore atteso del -0.026%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.28%EV -3.72%E -1.56%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.53%EV -4.08%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 15:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.53%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.53%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.42%EV -5.74%E -2.45%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 15:40
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 15:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 15:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 15:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 15:30
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:55
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -2.15%E -0.665%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.50%EV -6.73%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 15:50
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 15:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 15:29
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 15:30
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -8.20%E -2.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 15:54
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -8.20%E -2.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 15:45
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 15:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.63%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 15:35
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.026%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.026%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.026%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.026%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.026%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-01 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -13.79%E -6.45%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -13.79%E -6.45%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-01 15:55