預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Palermo v Mantova

開賽時間: 2026-09-03 16:01 UTC

最終賽果: Palermo 5–2 Mantova

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

30 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Palermo (主隊)

預測 44.94%2.23公平賠率
EV -2.93%
優勢 -1.36%
Kelly -2.52%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.16

博彩公司預測分布
43.81%45.22%44.96%47.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.85%48.78%46.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Mantova (客隊)

預測 28.26%3.54公平賠率
EV +1.74%
優勢 +0.482%
Kelly +0.668%
成長率 +0.012%

假設最高賠率為 3.60

博彩公司預測分布
25.61%27.96%28.32%29.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.203.323.273.6031.25%30.11%30.53%27.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 26.80%3.73公平賠率
EV -3.52%
優勢 -0.979%
Kelly -1.36%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.60

博彩公司預測分布
26.13%26.82%26.72%28.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.303.433.453.6030.30%29.19%28.99%27.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Palermo (主隊):44.94%;Mantova (客隊):28.26%;和局:26.80%。 對於「Mantova (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.54的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.60,對應+1.74%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (30 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -12.37%E -6.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV +1.74%E +0.482%K +0.668%G +0.012%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:55
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -1.09%E -0.311%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 16:00
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.38%EV -8.77%E -4.32%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -2.50%E -0.725%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 16:00
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.42%E -3.60%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:00
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 16:00
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.50%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.35%EV -4.20%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -5.13%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 15:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.52%E -3.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:45
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.52%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:45
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 15:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 15:59
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 15:59
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -11.47%E -5.82%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -11.47%E -5.82%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -14.16%E -7.42%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 15:59
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.61%EV -11.02%E -5.56%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 16:00
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09%0.3%2026-09-03 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-09-03 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00%2.1%2026-09-03 16:00