语言:简体中文
Palermo v Mantova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Palermo (主队)
预测 44.94%2.23公平赔率
EV -2.93%
优势 -1.36%
Kelly -2.52%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.16
博彩公司预测分布
43.81%45.22%44.96%47.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.85%48.78%46.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
Mantova (客队)
预测 28.26%3.54公平赔率
EV +1.74%
优势 +0.482%
Kelly +0.668%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.61%27.96%28.32%29.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.323.273.6031.25%30.11%30.53%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.80%3.73公平赔率
EV -3.52%
优势 -0.979%
Kelly -1.36%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.13%26.82%26.72%28.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.433.453.6030.30%29.19%28.99%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Palermo (主队)：44.94%；Mantova (客队)：28.26%；平局：26.80%。 对于“Mantova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.54。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.60，对应+1.74%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -12.37%E -6.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV +1.74%E +0.482%K +0.668%G +0.012% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -1.09%E -0.311%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.38%EV -8.77%E -4.32%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -2.50%E -0.725%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.42%E -3.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.50%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.35%EV -4.20%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -5.13%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.52%E -3.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.52%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -11.47%E -5.82%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -11.47%E -5.82%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -14.16%E -7.42%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.61%EV -11.02%E -5.56%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09% | 0.3% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |