语言:简体中文
Lazio v Mantova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Lazio (主队)
预测 74.28%1.35公平赔率
EV -3.43%
优势 -2.64%
Kelly -11.44%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
71.67%74.11%74.38%76.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.261.251.3081.97%79.59%80.00%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
Mantova (客队)
预测 9.18%10.89公平赔率
EV +10.17%
优势 +0.848%
Kelly +0.925%
增长率 +0.094%
假设最高赔率为 12.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.94%9.17%9.19%10.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.509.9010.0012.0011.76%10.10%10.00%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 16.54%6.05公平赔率
EV -0.777%
优势 -0.130%
Kelly -0.155%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 6.00
博彩公司预测分布
15.34%16.72%16.43%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.475.506.0020.00%18.27%18.18%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lazio (主队)：74.28%；Mantova (客队)：9.18%；平局：16.54%。 对于“Mantova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.89。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.00，对应+10.17%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +10.17%E +0.848%K +0.925%G +0.094% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -0.777%E -0.130%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.35%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 11.08I 9.03%NM 8.59%EV +1.72%E +0.156%K +0.171%G +0.003% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.06%EV -7.72%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +0.990%E +0.090%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.25%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.58%EV +0.072%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -9.87%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -3.60%E -0.343%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.91%E -0.854%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -3.60%E -0.343%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -3.60%E -0.343%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.51%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -3.60%E -0.343%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.70%E -1.98%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.52%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV -3.60%E -0.343%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -17.31%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -0.777%E -0.130%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -0.777%E -0.130%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -4.08%E -0.704%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.91%E -0.854%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -0.777%E -0.130%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -12.35%E -2.33%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 17:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.31%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.31%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.31%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.31%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -5.66%E -4.46%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.91%E -0.854%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.94%EV -8.63%E -7.02%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -17.37%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.96%EV -5.74%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.66%E -4.46%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -21.96%E -2.58%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -14.01%E -2.69%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.91%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.96%E -2.58%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -14.01%E -2.69%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.91%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.96%E -2.58%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -14.01%E -2.69%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.67%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -21.96%E -2.58%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -15.66%E -3.07%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |