Lingua:Italiano
Lazio v Mantova
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Lazio (Casa)
Previsione 74.28%1.35quota equa
EV -3.43%
Vantaggio -2.64%
Kelly -11.44%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.67%74.11%74.38%76.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.261.251.3081.97%79.59%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Mantova (Trasferta)
Previsione 9.18%10.89quota equa
EV +10.17%
Vantaggio +0.848%
Kelly +0.925%
Crescita +0.094%
ipotizzando la quota massima 12.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.94%9.17%9.19%10.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.509.9010.0012.0011.76%10.10%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 16.54%6.05quota equa
EV -0.777%
Vantaggio -0.130%
Kelly -0.155%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.34%16.72%16.43%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.475.506.0020.00%18.27%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Lazio (Casa): 74.28%; Mantova (Trasferta): 9.18%; Pareggio: 16.54%. Per Mantova (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 10.89. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 12.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +10.17%.
Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +10.17%E +0.848%K +0.925%G +0.094% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -0.777%E -0.130%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.35%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 11.08I 9.03%NM 8.59%EV +1.72%E +0.156%K +0.171%G +0.003% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.06%EV -7.72%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +0.990%E +0.090%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.25%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.58%EV +0.072%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -9.87%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -3.60%E -0.343%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.91%E -0.854%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -3.60%E -0.343%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -3.60%E -0.343%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.51%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -3.60%E -0.343%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.70%E -1.98%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.52%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV -3.60%E -0.343%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -17.31%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -0.777%E -0.130%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -0.777%E -0.130%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -4.08%E -0.704%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.91%E -0.854%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -0.777%E -0.130%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -12.35%E -2.33%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 17:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.31%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.31%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.31%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.15%E -5.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.819%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.31%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -5.66%E -4.46%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.91%E -0.854%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -9.38%E -7.69%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -12.78%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.05%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.94%EV -8.63%E -7.02%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -17.37%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.96%EV -5.74%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.66%E -4.46%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -21.96%E -2.58%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -14.01%E -2.69%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.91%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.96%E -2.58%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -14.01%E -2.69%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.91%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.96%E -2.58%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -14.01%E -2.69%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.67%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -21.96%E -2.58%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -15.66%E -3.07%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |