The School of Odds
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Hellas Verona v Virtus Entella

2026-08-16 18:45 UTC — Coppa Italia

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona (Local)

Prediction 57.05%1.75fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -7.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.51%56.90%57.01%57.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.631.6763.69%61.22%61.16%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virtus Entella (Visit)

Prediction 18.35%5.45fair odd
EV +0.925%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.206%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.36%18.36%18.32%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.035.005.5021.28%19.89%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.60%4.06fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.73%24.74%24.67%26.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.763.9028.57%26.94%26.56%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hellas Verona (Local): 57.05%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 18.35%; Draw: 24.60%. For Virtus Entella (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.45. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.925%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +0.925%E +0.168%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 05:54
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.16%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.90%EV -3.30%E -0.625%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.95%EV -7.01%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 05:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.66%E -0.698%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 05:54
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.66%E -0.698%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 05:54
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.17%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.78%EV -3.85%E -0.734%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.05%EV -8.49%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 06:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.58%E -0.881%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 06:49
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 05:53
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 05:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 05:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 05:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 05:55
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 05:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 05:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 05:53
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 05:54
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 05:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 05:54
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 05:54
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 05:55
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 05:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 05:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 05:54
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 05:53
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 05:54
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.99%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -11.92%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 05:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -12.84%E -2.70%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -12.84%E -2.70%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 05:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -12.84%E -2.70%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 05:54
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -10.43%E -6.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.84%E -2.70%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 05:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -9.86%E -6.24%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -13.76%E -2.93%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 05:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 57.84%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.1%2026-08-14 06:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 57.84%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.1%2026-08-14 06:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 57.84%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.1%2026-08-14 06:14

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