默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hellas Verona v Virtus Entella

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 18:48 UTC

最终结果: Hellas Verona 2–2 Virtus Entella

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hellas Verona (主队)

预测 49.41%2.02公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -1.61%
Kelly -3.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.96

博彩公司预测分布
47.76%49.39%49.49%52.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.861.871.9657.80%53.86%53.48%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Virtus Entella (客队)

预测 22.22%4.50公平赔率
EV +2.20%
优势 +0.479%
Kelly +0.612%
增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.88%22.18%22.33%23.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.234.254.6025.64%23.65%23.53%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.37%3.52公平赔率
EV -0.707%
优势 -0.202%
Kelly -0.283%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.79%28.43%28.17%30.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.30%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hellas Verona (主队):49.41%;Virtus Entella (客队):22.22%;平局:28.37%。 对于“Virtus Entella (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.50。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.60,对应+2.20%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.01%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV +2.20%E +0.479%K +0.612%G +0.013%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.11%EV -9.50%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:30
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -10.56%E -5.84%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -0.020%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.707%E -0.202%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -10.56%E -5.84%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -0.020%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.707%E -0.202%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -10.56%E -5.84%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -0.020%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.707%E -0.202%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -10.56%E -5.84%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -0.020%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.707%E -0.202%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -10.56%E -5.84%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -0.020%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.707%E -0.202%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.93%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV -3.80%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 18:45
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -3.80%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 18:34
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -3.80%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -8.59%E -4.64%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -13.03%E -7.41%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -13.53%E -7.73%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -13.53%E -7.73%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 18:45
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.54%EV -8.59%E -4.64%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.80%EV -4.69%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.66%EV -4.11%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -14.02%E -8.06%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 18:45
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -0.707%E -0.202%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -8.59%E -4.64%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 18:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 18:34
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -14.52%E -8.39%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:33
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.48%EV -9.08%E -4.94%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 18:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-16 18:45