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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Cremonese v Sampdoria

开赛时间： 2026-08-17 18:46 UTC

最终结果： Cremonese 2–0 Sampdoria

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cremonese (主队)

预测 41.84%2.39公平赔率
EV -3.76%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -2.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
41.49%41.86%41.90%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.022.162.202.3049.50%46.23%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sampdoria (客队)

预测 28.69%3.49公平赔率
EV +3.28%
优势 +0.912%
Kelly +1.26%
增长率 +0.041%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.28%28.69%28.54%30.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.303.303.6033.33%30.31%30.30%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.47%3.39公平赔率
EV -2.75%
优势 -0.835%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.09%29.45%29.56%31.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.163.153.3033.90%31.63%31.75%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cremonese (主队)：41.84%；Sampdoria (客队)：28.69%；平局：29.47%。 对于“Sampdoria (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.49。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.60，对应+3.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.13%E -5.78%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.912%K +1.26%G +0.041%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.13%E -5.78%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.912%K +1.26%G +0.041%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.13%E -5.78%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.912%K +1.26%G +0.041%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.13%E -5.78%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.912%K +1.26%G +0.041%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.13%E -5.78%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.912%K +1.26%G +0.041%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.80%EV -3.76%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -1.02%E -0.296%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 18:40
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.37%EV -7.53%E -3.41%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -1.31%E -0.380%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -9.24%E -3.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 18:38
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -13.07%E -4.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -15.48%E -7.66%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -15.48%E -7.66%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -14.64%E -7.18%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 18:44
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.48%E -7.66%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:29
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:25
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -14.22%E -6.94%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 18:34
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 18:43
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 18:43
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 18:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-08-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-08-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-08-17 18:45