Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cremonese v Sampdoria

Inizio: 2026-08-17 18:46 UTC

Finale: Cremonese 2–0 Sampdoria

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cremonese (Casa)

Previsione 41.84%2.39quota equa
EV -3.76%
Vantaggio -1.64%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.49%41.86%41.90%45.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.162.202.3049.50%46.23%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Sampdoria (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.69%3.49quota equa
EV +3.28%
Vantaggio +0.912%
Kelly +1.26%
Crescita +0.041%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.28%28.69%28.54%30.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.303.303.6033.33%30.31%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.47%3.39quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -0.835%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.09%29.45%29.56%31.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.163.153.3033.90%31.63%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cremonese (Casa): 41.84%; Sampdoria (Trasferta): 28.69%; Pareggio: 29.47%. Per Sampdoria (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.49. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.28%.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.13%E -5.78%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.912%K +1.26%G +0.041%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.13%E -5.78%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.912%K +1.26%G +0.041%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.13%E -5.78%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.912%K +1.26%G +0.041%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.13%E -5.78%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.912%K +1.26%G +0.041%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.13%E -5.78%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.912%K +1.26%G +0.041%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.80%EV -3.76%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -1.02%E -0.296%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 18:40
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.37%EV -7.53%E -3.41%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -1.31%E -0.380%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -9.24%E -3.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 18:38
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -13.07%E -4.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -15.48%E -7.66%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -15.48%E -7.66%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -14.64%E -7.18%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 18:44
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.48%E -7.66%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:29
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:25
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.75%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -14.22%E -6.94%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 18:34
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 18:43
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.95%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 18:43
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 18:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-08-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-08-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-08-17 18:45