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Como v Inter Milan

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Como (Local)

Prediction 34.94%2.86fair odd
EV +4.83%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +0.117%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.36%34.71%35.06%35.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.692.703.0038.46%37.17%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Inter Milan (Visit)

Prediction 33.69%2.97fair odd
EV -0.604%
Edge -0.205%
Kelly -0.310%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.63%33.95%33.72%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.802.9540.00%35.88%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.36%3.19fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.39%31.34%31.23%32.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.923.1036.36%34.05%34.19%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Como (Local): 34.94%; Inter Milan (Visit): 33.69%; Draw: 31.36%. For Como (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%EV +4.83%E +1.61%K +2.41%G +0.117%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.82%EV -8.69%E -3.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-03 19:51
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -0.414%E -0.145%K -0.224%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.48%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 19:51
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.05%EV -3.56%E -1.29%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.24%EV -1.95%E -0.671%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-03 19:51
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.10%EV -3.91%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.72%EV -0.604%E -0.205%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.10%EV -3.91%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.72%EV -0.604%E -0.205%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 19:50
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.91%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.77%E -6.31%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.33%EV -4.96%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.48%EV -3.30%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.20%EV -3.40%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.75%EV -4.96%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.75%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:45
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 19:55
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 19:51
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:51
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:55
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:55
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -9.99%E -3.48%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -2.77%E -0.894%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 19:35
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 19:51
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 19:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -8.45%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -8.45%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:51
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -8.45%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -8.45%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -9.15%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 19:25
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.15%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -9.15%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -13.75%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-03 19:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%0.5%2026-03-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-03 19:55