La escuela de los momiosComo v Inter Milan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Como (Local)
Predicción 34.94%2.86momio equitativo
EV +4.83%
Ventaja +1.61%
Kelly +2.41%
Crecimiento +0.117%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.36%34.71%35.06%35.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.692.703.0038.46%37.17%37.04%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Inter Milan (Visitante)
Predicción 33.69%2.97momio equitativo
EV -0.604%
Ventaja -0.205%
Kelly -0.310%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.63%33.95%33.72%36.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.792.802.9540.00%35.88%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.36%3.19momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.894%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.39%31.34%31.23%32.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.923.1036.36%34.05%34.19%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%EV +4.83%E +1.61%K +2.41%G +0.117% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.82%EV -8.69%E -3.21%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -0.414%E -0.145%K -0.224%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.48%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.05%EV -3.56%E -1.29%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.24%EV -1.95%E -0.671%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.10%EV -3.91%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.72%EV -0.604%E -0.205%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.10%EV -3.91%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.72%EV -0.604%E -0.205%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.91%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.77%E -6.31%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.33%EV -4.96%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.48%EV -3.30%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.20%EV -3.40%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.75%EV -4.96%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.75%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -9.99%E -3.48%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -2.77%E -0.894%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -8.45%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -8.45%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -8.45%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -8.45%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -9.15%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.15%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -9.15%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -13.75%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |