Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Volos FC v PAOK Thessaloniki

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Volos FC (Local)

Prediction 8.91%11.22fair odd
EV +11.37%
Edge +0.910%
Kelly +0.989%
Growth +0.112%

assuming max odds 12.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.56%8.95%8.73%10.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.1610.0012.5012.50%9.85%10.00%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)

Prediction 72.58%1.38fair odd
EV -4.92%
Edge -3.76%
Kelly -15.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.77%72.56%72.69%74.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.271.281.3187.72%78.90%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.51%5.40fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +0.654%
Kelly +0.796%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.80%18.49%18.58%20.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.914.905.6022.22%20.38%20.41%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Volos FC (Local): 8.91%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 72.58%; Draw: 18.51%. For Volos FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.22. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.66%EV +11.37%E +0.910%K +0.989%G +0.112%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.26%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.07%EV -1.89%E -0.357%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 16:45
Coolbet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +6.91%E +0.576%K +0.629%G +0.043%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.90%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -2.82%E -0.536%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:54
Suprabets🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +6.91%E +0.576%K +0.629%G +0.043%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.54%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +6.91%E +0.576%K +0.629%G +0.043%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -9.28%E -7.42%K -37.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:40
SportsBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV +6.91%E +0.576%K +0.629%G +0.043%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.31%EV -11.45%E -9.39%K -52.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.07%EV -4.92%E -3.76%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.23%EV -2.82%E -0.536%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.07%EV -4.92%E -3.76%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.23%EV -2.82%E -0.536%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:45
DraftKings🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.37%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -2.82%E -0.536%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 16:44
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.65%EV -8.55%E -6.79%K -32.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.66%E +0.654%K +0.796%G +0.029%6.3%2026-03-22 16:45
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.65%EV -8.55%E -6.79%K -32.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.66%E +0.654%K +0.796%G +0.029%6.3%2026-03-22 16:45
1xBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.65%E -4.34%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -12.07%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:49
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:39
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:40
Bet Victor🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:50
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -10.00%E -8.07%K -41.67%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -0.040%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:34
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -12.07%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:50
Paddy Power🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -12.90%E -10.75%K -64.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.03%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.36%EV -11.45%E -9.39%K -52.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV -6.45%E -0.614%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:40
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:40
TABtouch🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Bovada🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
BetUS🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:39
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.57%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.00%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.40%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 73.72%EV -17.26%E -15.14%K -123.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.88%EV -13.00%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-22 16:35
BetMGM🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.62%EV -13.13%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.61%EV -4.92%E -3.76%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 16:45
Fanatics🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -15.36%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -15.36%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -9.28%E -7.42%K -37.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:40
BoyleSports🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.43%EV -15.36%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.70%EV -9.28%E -7.42%K -37.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -12.07%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -15.36%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.44%EV -10.73%E -8.72%K -46.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 16:39
NetBet (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.07%EV -15.36%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 71.79%EV -12.90%E -10.75%K -64.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.14%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 9.65%EV -16.25%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.44%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 16:44
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -19.81%E -2.20%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.65%E -4.34%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV -19.81%E -2.20%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.20%EV -10.00%E -8.07%K -41.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.99%EV -13.92%E -2.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.04%EV -23.38%E -2.72%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.77%EV -11.45%E -9.39%K -52.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-22 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -3.74%E -0.720%K -0.891%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 16:40
Neds🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.99%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 16:50
Coral🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.99%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 16:45
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -11.45%E -9.39%K -52.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-22 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -28.72%E -3.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -10.00%E -8.07%K -41.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 16:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.69%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.51%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.51%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-03-22 16:55
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.84%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.44%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-03-22 16:40
Smarkets14.49I 6.90%NM 6.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%2.0%2026-03-22 16:55