La escuela de los momios

Volos FC v PAOK Thessaloniki

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Volos FC (Local)

Predicción 8.91%11.22momio equitativo
EV +11.37%
Ventaja +0.910%
Kelly +0.989%
Crecimiento +0.112%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.56%8.95%8.73%10.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.0010.1610.0012.5012.50%9.85%10.00%8.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Predicción 72.58%1.38momio equitativo
EV -4.92%
Ventaja -3.76%
Kelly -15.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.77%72.56%72.69%74.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.271.281.3187.72%78.90%78.13%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.51%5.40momio equitativo
EV +3.66%
Ventaja +0.654%
Kelly +0.796%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.80%18.49%18.58%20.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.914.905.6022.22%20.38%20.41%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle12.50I 8.00%NM 7.66%EV +11.37%E +0.910%K +0.989%G +0.112%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.26%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.07%EV -1.89%E -0.357%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 16:45
Coolbet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +6.91%E +0.576%K +0.629%G +0.043%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.90%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -2.82%E -0.536%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:54
Suprabets12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +6.91%E +0.576%K +0.629%G +0.043%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.54%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:45
Tipico (DE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +6.91%E +0.576%K +0.629%G +0.043%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -9.28%E -7.42%K -37.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:40
SportsBet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV +6.91%E +0.576%K +0.629%G +0.043%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.31%EV -11.45%E -9.39%K -52.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 16:35
LowVig.ag11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.07%EV -4.92%E -3.76%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.23%EV -2.82%E -0.536%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:45
BetOnline.ag11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.07%EV -4.92%E -3.76%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.23%EV -2.82%E -0.536%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:45
DraftKings11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.37%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -2.82%E -0.536%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 16:44
Betsson11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.65%EV -8.55%E -6.79%K -32.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.66%E +0.654%K +0.796%G +0.029%6.3%2026-03-22 16:45
NordicBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.65%EV -8.55%E -6.79%K -32.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.66%E +0.654%K +0.796%G +0.029%6.3%2026-03-22 16:45
1xBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.65%E -4.34%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -12.07%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:49
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:39
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:40
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:40
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:40
Bet Victor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.15%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:50
FanDuel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -10.00%E -8.07%K -41.67%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -0.040%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:34
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -12.07%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:50
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -12.90%E -10.75%K -64.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.03%EV -2.00%E -0.181%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.36%EV -11.45%E -9.39%K -52.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 16:50
Unibet (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV -6.45%E -0.614%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:40
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:40
TABtouch10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:39
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
BetUS10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
LiveScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:39
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Betr (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.57%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.00%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:54
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.40%EV -10.90%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 73.72%EV -17.26%E -15.14%K -123.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.88%EV -13.00%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-22 16:35
BetMGM9.75I 10.26%NM 9.62%EV -13.13%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.61%EV -4.92%E -3.76%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 16:45
Fanatics9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -15.36%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.44%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 16:50
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -15.36%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -9.28%E -7.42%K -37.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:40
BoyleSports9.50I 10.53%NM 9.43%EV -15.36%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.70%EV -9.28%E -7.42%K -37.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -12.07%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 16:35
Betclic (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -15.36%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.44%EV -10.73%E -8.72%K -46.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -9.30%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 16:39
NetBet (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.07%EV -15.36%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 71.79%EV -12.90%E -10.75%K -64.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.14%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 16:50
Codere (IT)9.40I 10.64%NM 9.65%EV -16.25%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.44%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 16:44
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -19.81%E -2.20%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.65%E -4.34%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Parions Sport (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV -19.81%E -2.20%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.20%EV -10.00%E -8.07%K -41.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.99%EV -13.92%E -2.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Unibet (FR)8.60I 11.63%NM 10.04%EV -23.38%E -2.72%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.77%EV -11.45%E -9.39%K -52.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-22 16:50
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -7.82%E -6.16%K -28.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -3.74%E -0.720%K -0.891%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 16:40
Neds8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -6.37%E -4.94%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.99%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 16:50
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.99%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 16:45
Sky Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -24.27%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -11.45%E -9.39%K -52.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-22 16:34
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -28.72%E -3.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -10.00%E -8.07%K -41.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -11.15%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 16:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.69%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.51%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.51%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-03-22 16:55
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.84%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.44%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-03-22 16:40
Smarkets14.49I 6.90%NM 6.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%2.0%2026-03-22 16:55