Language:English
PAOK Thessaloniki v Levadiakos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)
Prediction 68.58%1.46fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -9.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.86%68.62%68.73%70.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.331.331.4080.65%75.01%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Levadiakos (Visit)
Prediction 11.54%8.67fair odd
EV +8.66%
Edge +0.919%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 9.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.91%11.60%11.33%13.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.878.009.4215.38%12.71%12.50%10.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.88%5.03fair odd
EV -0.385%
Edge -0.077%
Kelly -0.096%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.40%19.79%19.94%21.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.574.605.0123.81%21.87%21.74%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: PAOK Thessaloniki (Local): 68.58%; Levadiakos (Visit): 11.54%; Draw: 19.88%. For Levadiakos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 9.42I 10.62%NM 9.91%EV +8.66%E +0.919%K +1.03%G +0.089% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.93%EV -11.32%E -2.54%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.05%EV -5.36%E -3.88%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.89%EV +0.933%E +0.107%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -5.55%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.79%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 8.59I 11.64%NM 11.13%EV -0.913%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.08%EV -0.385%E -0.077%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -1.95%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -8.79%E -6.61%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -1.95%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -2.57%E -0.525%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -8.79%E -6.61%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -1.95%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.55%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 17:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -8.79%E -6.61%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -1.95%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.55%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 17:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.55%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -1.95%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.95%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -0.583%E -0.117%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.79%E -6.61%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -1.95%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.79%E -6.61%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -1.95%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.79%E -6.61%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -1.95%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.47%E -7.18%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -4.84%E -0.586%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -4.56%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.19%EV -6.73%E -4.95%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 8.21I 12.18%NM 11.30%EV -5.30%E -0.645%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.52%EV -10.13%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.39%EV -5.41%E -0.660%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -4.56%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.28%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.24%EV -5.41%E -0.660%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -5.36%E -3.88%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -2.57%E -0.525%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.95%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.51%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -6.73%E -4.95%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -13.91%E -3.21%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -8.79%E -6.61%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 17:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -9.47%E -7.18%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -9.47%E -7.18%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -9.47%E -7.18%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -9.47%E -7.18%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -9.47%E -7.18%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -9.47%E -7.18%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -9.47%E -7.18%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -9.47%E -7.18%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -5.55%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -8.54%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.75%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.08%EV -11.52%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 17:43 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -11.53%E -8.94%K -39.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -11.53%E -8.94%K -39.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -11.53%E -8.94%K -39.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -7.72%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -8.10%E -6.05%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.64%EV -10.03%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -12.51%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -10.60%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -14.50%E -3.37%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 69.04%EV -14.96%E -12.06%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.05%EV -10.60%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.91%EV -14.50%E -3.37%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -3.99%E -2.85%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -13.49%E -1.80%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.55%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.49%E -1.80%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -5.55%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.73%E -4.95%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -13.49%E -1.80%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -13.49%E -1.80%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -16.49%E -3.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.77%EV -14.27%E -11.42%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.46%EV -13.49%E -1.80%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.76%EV -13.51%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-23 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -5.36%E -3.88%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -14.64%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.55%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -5.36%E -3.88%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -14.64%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.55%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.72%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV -14.64%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -6.55%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -8.10%E -6.05%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -16.37%E -2.26%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.55%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.78%EV -9.47%E -7.18%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.34%EV -16.37%E -2.26%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.88%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -19.25%E -2.75%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 17:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.73%E -4.95%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -25.02%E -3.85%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.51%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.73%E -4.95%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -25.02%E -3.85%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.51%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.73%E -4.95%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -25.02%E -3.85%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.51%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.73%E -4.95%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -25.02%E -3.85%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.51%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.25%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.25%EV -25.02%E -3.85%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -16.49%E -3.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.61% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.61% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.61% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.41% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |