Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

PAOK Thessaloniki v Levadiakos

2026-08-23 18:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)

Prediction 68.70%1.46fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -3.76%
Kelly -13.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.66%68.61%68.57%69.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.331.331.3880.00%75.11%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levadiakos (Visit)

Prediction 11.98%8.34fair odd
EV +1.86%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.248%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.23%12.07%12.10%13.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.507.508.5015.38%13.33%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.32%5.18fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -0.853%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%19.32%19.33%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.684.705.0023.09%21.39%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: PAOK Thessaloniki (Local): 68.70%; Levadiakos (Visit): 11.98%; Draw: 19.32%. For Levadiakos (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.34. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV +1.86%E +0.219%K +0.248%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.41%E -0.683%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 19:19
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.22%EV -7.94%E -5.93%K -23.36%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.34%EV -1.97%E -0.241%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.44%EV -7.86%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 05:09
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.24%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.37%EV -2.93%E -0.362%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.24%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 05:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.13%E -0.516%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.41%E -0.683%K -0.853%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -4.13%E -0.516%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.24%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 05:09
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -7.94%E -5.93%K -23.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -4.13%E -0.516%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -11.14%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -10.00%E -7.64%K -32.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.13%E -0.516%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -5.35%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -10.00%E -7.64%K -32.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.13%E -0.516%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -5.35%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 19:23
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -4.13%E -0.516%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.14%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 07:34
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.69%E -8.22%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -4.13%E -0.516%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -8.24%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-18 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.32%E -7.06%K -29.12%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.53%E -0.837%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -5.35%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.67%EV -9.32%E -7.06%K -29.12%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.62%EV -6.53%E -0.837%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -11.14%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 05:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -6.57%E -4.83%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -7.13%E -0.920%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -3.41%E -0.683%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 18:03
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.90%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -7.13%E -0.920%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.28%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 06:15
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.75%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.80%EV -7.13%E -0.920%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -9.21%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-17 18:03
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.57%E -4.83%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -10.12%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -8.24%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.26%E -5.37%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -10.12%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.28%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 07:19
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.57%E -4.83%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.12%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.07%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 19:14
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.57%E -4.83%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.12%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.07%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.57%E -4.83%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.12%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.07%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.57%E -4.83%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.12%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.07%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 19:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 68.93%EV -14.13%E -11.30%K -56.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.49%EV -10.12%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.58%EV -15.00%E -3.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-18 01:24
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.29%EV -5.20%E -3.76%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.60%EV -10.36%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.11%EV -4.77%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 06:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.81%EV -7.26%E -5.37%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.71%EV -13.72%E -1.91%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -9.21%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-18 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 68.28%EV -13.44%E -10.67%K -51.69%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.95%EV -13.72%E -1.91%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.78%EV -15.97%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-17 21:09
Suprabets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.83%EV -7.26%E -5.37%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.90%EV -14.92%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.24%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-18 08:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.26%E -5.37%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -16.11%E -2.30%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -9.21%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-18 22:29
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.11%E -2.30%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.14%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 18:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.11%E -2.30%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.14%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.11%E -2.30%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.14%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.11%E -2.30%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.14%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.96%EV -11.38%E -8.82%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.99%EV -19.11%E -2.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -11.14%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-17 05:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.54%EV -12.07%E -9.43%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.81%EV -19.11%E -2.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.65%EV -15.00%E -3.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-17 05:04
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -22.11%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -13.07%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-18 09:14
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.69%E -8.22%K -35.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -22.11%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -16.36%E -3.78%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-16 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.34%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%4.5%2026-08-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.34%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%4.5%2026-08-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.34%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%4.5%2026-08-18 19:30
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%4.9%2026-08-18 21:40
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 69.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.09%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%7.4%2026-08-18 19:55

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