Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

PAOK Thessaloniki v Levadiakos

2026-08-23 18:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)

Prediction 70.26%1.42fair odd
EV -5.86%
Edge -4.37%
Kelly -17.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.47%70.34%70.18%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.291.3479.37%77.01%77.52%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levadiakos (Visit)

Prediction 10.31%9.70fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.239%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.85%10.28%10.37%12.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.438.509.5014.29%11.86%11.76%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.43%5.15fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.72%19.39%19.45%20.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.664.755.0023.81%21.48%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.97%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV -2.03%E -0.214%K -0.239%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -2.85%E -0.569%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 12:30
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -6.56%E -4.93%K -19.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -7.19%E -0.799%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 12:30
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -6.56%E -4.93%K -19.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -7.19%E -0.799%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 12:29
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -7.96%E -6.08%K -25.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -2.03%E -0.214%K -0.239%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.85%E -0.569%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 12:30
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.58%EV -7.96%E -6.08%K -25.69%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.60%EV -11.31%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-29 12:30
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -9.37%E -7.26%K -32.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -7.19%E -0.799%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 12:30
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.26%EV -9.37%E -7.26%K -32.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -12.34%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.70%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-29 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.26%EV -9.37%E -7.26%K -32.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -12.34%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.70%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-29 12:40
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -9.37%E -7.26%K -32.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -12.34%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-29 12:30
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 67.47%EV -9.37%E -7.26%K -32.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV -27.81%E -3.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.10%EV -15.87%E -3.66%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-29 12:29
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.72%EV -10.07%E -7.87%K -35.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.73%EV -22.66%E -3.02%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-29 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.31%EV -10.77%E -8.48%K -39.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.97%EV -25.23%E -3.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -14.50%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-29 12:30
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 68.37%EV -11.48%E -9.11%K -44.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.12%EV -20.08%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -18.39%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-29 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 28.37%1.04I 96.15%NM 35.47%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.16%171.1%2026-07-29 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 28.37%1.04I 96.15%NM 35.47%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.16%171.1%2026-07-29 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 28.37%1.04I 96.15%NM 35.47%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.16%171.1%2026-07-29 12:30