Language:English
PAOK Thessaloniki v Levadiakos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)
Prediction 73.03%1.37fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -3.31%
Kelly -13.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.46%73.13%73.01%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.261.261.3188.50%79.54%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Levadiakos (Visit)
Prediction 9.29%10.77fair odd
EV +19.07%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.308%
assuming max odds 12.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.49%9.30%9.35%11.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.759.759.5012.8212.90%10.26%10.53%7.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.69%5.65fair odd
EV +6.12%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.80%17.57%17.64%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.165.106.0022.22%19.39%19.61%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: PAOK Thessaloniki (Local): 73.03%; Levadiakos (Visit): 9.29%; Draw: 17.69%. For Levadiakos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.77. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.19%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 12.82I 7.80%NM 7.49%EV +19.07%E +1.49%K +1.61%G +0.308% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.33%EV +3.99%E +0.679%K +0.819%G +0.033% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.12%E +1.02%K +1.22%G +0.075% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.12%E +1.02%K +1.22%G +0.075% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -7.15%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -2.73%E -0.496%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -0.957%E -0.171%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 15:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.39%EV -9.45%E -7.62%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +2.58%E +0.445%K +0.537%G +0.014% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -7.15%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 15:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -12.37%E -10.31%K -61.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -2.73%E -0.496%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -12.37%E -10.31%K -61.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.69%EV -12.37%E -10.31%K -61.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.93%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.38%EV -20.41%E -4.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.80%E -4.49%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -7.15%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -0.957%E -0.171%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -0.957%E -0.171%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.08%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -8.03%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.08%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -8.03%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -6.26%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 10:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 74.68%EV -17.48%E -15.47%K -134.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.44%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.88%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.72%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 9.86I 10.14%NM 9.47%EV -8.42%E -0.854%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 15.80%EV +4.53%E +0.766%K +0.922%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -14.08%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.15%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.61%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.83%EV -14.08%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -13.34%E -2.72%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.77%EV -10.18%E -8.28%K -44.25%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.68%EV -14.08%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-15 15:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -5.80%E -4.49%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -7.15%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -5.80%E -4.49%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -15.99%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 04:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 04:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 04:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.57%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -13.34%E -2.72%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 04:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 72.89%EV -13.83%E -11.72%K -76.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -13.34%E -2.72%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.38%EV -9.45%E -7.62%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.17%EV -19.19%E -2.21%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -15.11%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -6.26%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -15.99%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.88%EV -12.37%E -10.31%K -61.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.97%EV -15.11%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.17%EV -11.64%E -9.62%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 10.31%EV -22.44%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.52%EV -17.76%E -3.82%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.80%E -4.49%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -25.69%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.80%E -4.49%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -25.69%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -25.69%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -25.69%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.77%EV -9.45%E -7.62%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.32%EV -28.02%E -3.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -13.34%E -2.72%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.85% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87% | 1.7% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.83% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 2.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |