L’École des cotesFrançais
PAOK Thessaloniki v Levadiakos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)
Prévision 73.03%1.37cote équitable
EV -4.34%
Avantage -3.31%
Kelly -13.99%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.46%73.13%73.01%76.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.261.261.3188.50%79.54%79.37%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Levadiakos (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.29%10.77cote équitable
EV +19.07%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.308%
avec la cote maximale 12.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.49%9.30%9.35%11.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.759.759.5012.8212.90%10.26%10.53%7.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.69%5.65cote équitable
EV +6.12%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.075%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.80%17.57%17.64%19.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.165.106.0022.22%19.39%19.61%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.19%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 12.82I 7.80%NM 7.49%EV +19.07%E +1.49%K +1.61%G +0.308% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.33%EV +3.99%E +0.679%K +0.819%G +0.033% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.12%E +1.02%K +1.22%G +0.075% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.12%E +1.02%K +1.22%G +0.075% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -7.15%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -2.73%E -0.496%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Suprabets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -0.957%E -0.171%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 15:41 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.39%EV -9.45%E -7.62%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +2.58%E +0.445%K +0.537%G +0.014% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -7.15%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 15:29 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -12.37%E -10.31%K -61.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -2.73%E -0.496%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -12.37%E -10.31%K -61.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.69%EV -12.37%E -10.31%K -61.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.93%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.38%EV -20.41%E -4.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.80%E -4.49%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -7.15%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -0.957%E -0.171%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -0.957%E -0.171%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Bovada | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.08%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -8.03%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.08%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -8.03%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -6.26%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 10:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 74.68%EV -17.48%E -15.47%K -134.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.44%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.88%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.72%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 9.86I 10.14%NM 9.47%EV -8.42%E -0.854%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 15.80%EV +4.53%E +0.766%K +0.922%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -14.08%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.15%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.61%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.83%EV -14.08%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -13.34%E -2.72%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.77%EV -10.18%E -8.28%K -44.25%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.68%EV -14.08%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -9.80%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-15 15:43 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -5.80%E -4.49%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -7.15%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -5.80%E -4.49%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -15.99%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 04:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 04:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.26%E -5.71%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 04:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.57%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -13.34%E -2.72%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 04:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 72.89%EV -13.83%E -11.72%K -76.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -13.34%E -2.72%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.38%EV -9.45%E -7.62%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.17%EV -19.19%E -2.21%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -15.11%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -7.99%E -6.34%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -6.26%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -8.72%E -6.97%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -15.99%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.88%EV -12.37%E -10.31%K -61.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.97%EV -15.11%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.17%EV -11.64%E -9.62%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 10.31%EV -22.44%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.52%EV -17.76%E -3.82%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.80%E -4.49%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -25.69%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.80%E -4.49%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -25.69%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -25.69%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -25.69%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -11.57%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.77%EV -9.45%E -7.62%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.32%EV -28.02%E -3.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -13.34%E -2.72%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.85% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87% | 1.7% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.83% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 2.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |