Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panserraikos FC v Asteras Tripolis

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panserraikos FC (Local)

Prediction 30.93%3.23fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.88%30.95%30.86%33.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.942.953.1337.04%34.04%33.90%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Asteras Tripolis (Visit)

Prediction 37.76%2.65fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.60%37.79%37.74%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.382.5844.44%41.51%42.02%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.32%3.19fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.941%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.92%31.25%31.40%32.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.932.953.1038.02%34.18%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panserraikos FC (Local): 30.93%; Asteras Tripolis (Visit): 37.76%; Draw: 31.32%. For Asteras Tripolis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.58, with an expected value of -2.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -3.20%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.59%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -5.42%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 13:50
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 13:38
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -2.92%E -0.941%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 13:44
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 13:44
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.17%EV -6.74%E -2.73%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 13:35
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.17%EV -6.74%E -2.73%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 13:35
Suprabets🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.06%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -5.23%E -2.08%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 13:48
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-08 13:45
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 13:15
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -9.38%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -10.12%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 13:39
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.38%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -8.15%E -2.74%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -15.05%E -6.69%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 30.86%EV -8.46%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.43%EV -7.87%E -3.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.71%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 13:50
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.38%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -2.92%E -0.941%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 13:35
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-08 13:50
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.38%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 13:53
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.87%EV -12.41%E -5.35%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 13:15
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.77%EV -4.80%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 13:55
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 13:45
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 13:35
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-08 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.59%EV -13.92%E -6.10%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-08 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -17.64%E -6.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-08 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 31.03%EV -11.55%E -4.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.28%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.69%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-08 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.52%E -4.44%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 13:35
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.52%E -4.44%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-08 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -15.44%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -3.72%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 37.72%EV -14.29%E -6.30%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-08 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -16.50%E -6.11%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -3.72%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-04-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-04-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-04-08 13:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.23%1.7%2026-04-08 13:50
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%3.2%2026-04-08 13:35