La escuela de los momios

Panserraikos FC v Asteras Tripolis

Inicio: 2026-04-08 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Panserraikos FC (Local)

Predicción 30.93%3.23momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.88%30.95%30.86%33.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.953.1337.04%34.04%33.90%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Asteras Tripolis (Visitante)

Predicción 37.76%2.65momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.60%37.79%37.74%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.382.5844.44%41.51%42.02%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.32%3.19momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -0.941%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.92%31.25%31.40%32.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.932.953.1038.02%34.18%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -3.20%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.59%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -5.42%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 13:50
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 13:38
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -2.92%E -0.941%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 13:44
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 13:44
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.17%EV -6.74%E -2.73%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 13:35
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.17%EV -6.74%E -2.73%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 13:35
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 13:35
Suprabets3.01I 33.22%NM 31.06%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -5.23%E -2.08%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 13:48
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-08 13:45
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:30
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 13:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 13:15
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -9.38%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -10.12%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 13:39
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.38%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 13:35
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -8.15%E -2.74%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -15.05%E -6.69%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 13:34
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 30.86%EV -8.46%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.43%EV -7.87%E -3.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.71%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 13:50
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.38%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -2.92%E -0.941%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 13:35
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-08 13:50
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.38%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 13:53
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.87%EV -12.41%E -5.35%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 13:15
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.77%EV -4.80%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 13:55
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 13:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 13:44
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 13:45
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 13:44
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 13:35
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 13:35
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 13:50
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-08 13:35
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.59%EV -13.92%E -6.10%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-08 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -17.64%E -6.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-08 13:39
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 31.03%EV -11.55%E -4.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.28%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.69%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-08 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.52%E -4.44%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 13:35
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.52%E -4.44%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 13:35
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-08 13:35
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -15.44%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -3.72%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 12:35
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 37.72%EV -14.29%E -6.30%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-08 13:50
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -16.50%E -6.11%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -3.72%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 12:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-04-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-04-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-04-08 13:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.23%1.7%2026-04-08 13:50
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%3.2%2026-04-08 13:35