Language:English
Panserraikos FC v Aris Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panserraikos FC (Local)
Prediction 20.86%4.79fair odd
EV +4.32%
Edge +0.864%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.36%20.86%21.00%22.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.494.505.0025.64%22.26%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aris Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 50.16%1.99fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.86%50.17%49.99%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.791.811.9560.24%55.91%55.25%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.98%3.45fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -0.618%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.91%28.97%29.01%31.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.203.203.4035.71%31.27%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panserraikos FC (Local): 20.86%; Aris Thessaloniki (Visit): 50.16%; Draw: 28.98%. For Panserraikos FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV +2.24%E +0.456%K +0.573%G +0.013% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -16.23%E -9.72%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV +2.24%E +0.456%K +0.573%G +0.013% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -16.23%E -9.72%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV +2.24%E +0.456%K +0.573%G +0.013% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -16.23%E -9.72%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV +0.149%E +0.031%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.31%EV -16.73%E -10.08%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -0.894%E -0.188%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -0.894%E -0.188%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.28%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -1.94%E -0.412%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.13%EV -6.70%E -3.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.64%EV -3.80%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -1.94%E -0.412%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.13%EV -6.70%E -3.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.64%EV -3.80%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -1.94%E -0.412%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -9.21%E -5.09%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -1.94%E -0.412%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -9.21%E -5.09%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.02%E -0.875%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -4.02%E -0.875%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -7.71%E -4.19%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.05%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -4.02%E -0.875%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 17:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.03%EV -4.65%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.30%EV -2.19%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -8.71%E -4.79%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -9.24%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.98%EV -12.22%E -6.98%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.51%EV -9.31%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -9.66%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.82%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.28%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 17:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -10.28%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.49%EV -12.22%E -6.98%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -11.62%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -8.71%E -4.79%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 17:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -18.87%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.01%EV -14.46%E -3.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.08%EV -13.72%E -7.98%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.91%EV -13.65%E -4.58%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-14 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.95%EV -14.46%E -3.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.94%EV -13.72%E -7.98%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.12%EV -14.52%E -4.92%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -16.54%E -4.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -16.54%E -4.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -16.54%E -4.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -16.54%E -4.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.54%E -4.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.52%EV -10.72%E -6.02%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -18.63%E -4.78%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.43%EV -18.63%E -4.78%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 49.75%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.82%EV -15.97%E -5.51%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.59% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |